James,

The key point is "there is essentially no way to generalize from
> a well-specified persona to a population of interest, and thus no way to
> say anything about the users of interest.

The process should work in reverse: a persona is a representation of a
specific sub-population derived from the research. From that process, you
should arrive at representations that are illustrative, predictive to some
meaningful extent, and identifiable in the sense that stakeholders should be
able to 'see' in the persona some real person from the population.

The mathematics and statistics in the article you've cited are not very
good, and the arguments presented based on those are specious. They ignore
areas of analysis such as principal components analysis, multi-dimensional
scaling, or factorial analysis; or the basics of clustering and
segmentation. The example of "Patrick" is worse than meaningless.

I find this statement from the article particularly amusing:
"Unfortunately, both personas themselves and the raw data used to develop
them are generally protected by non-disclosure agreements. Without
verifiable data, we have nothing more than assertion of validity by persona
creators and advocates  themselves."

I'm not a card-carrying fan of personas. The article cited, however, is
clearly the opposite.

Steve
-- 
Steve 'Doc' Baty | Principal Consultant | Meld Consulting | P: +61 417 061
292 | E: [email protected] | Twitter: docbaty

Blog: http://docholdsfourth.blogspot.com
Contributor - UXMatters - www.uxmatters.com
UX Book Club: http://uxbookclub.org/ - Read, discuss, connect.
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