> < ... Here is a bit more of Neal's curious fantasizing, with little
>apparent connection to known processes ... > 

>> It would be interesting to know whether the recount is looking at
>> ballots selected by some criterion that doesn't relate to whether it
>> seemed like it might be a vote for Bush or Gore, rather than for some
>> third-party candidate.  If so, one could look at the vote counts for
>> the third-party candidates in the manual recount.  If the proportion
>> of such third-part votes has gone up, that might give an indication of
> < snip >

>Wouldn't somebody have jumped on that scandal with both feet,  
>if there were any hint of it?  Shoot, the Republicans have jumped 
>with both feet onto scandals where they had to invent 'em first....
>Loose chad?


I guess that's what I get for attempting to make a constructive
suggestion as to how one might find out more about what is actually
happening.  Anyone who is actually READING my posts before commenting
on my propensity to fantasize - rather than glancing at them looking
for keywords to which they can react - should be able to recognize
that the condition regarding ballot selection is simply something that
I recognized must be assumed for the subsequent point to hold.  I did
not mean to imply anything at all about how the ballots are actually
being selected, for the simple reason that I don't know anything at
all about this.

I guess some other posters are much more knowledgeable about such
matters, just as they are apparently much more knowledgeable about
sources of error in manual and machine recounts, though they're a bit
weak on statistics in places.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Radford M. Neal                                       [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Dept. of Statistics and Dept. of Computer Science [EMAIL PROTECTED]
University of Toronto                     http://www.cs.utoronto.ca/~radford
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