Gene Gallagher <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>There is a very interesting analysis on Bruce Hansen's U. Wisconsin web
>page describing the yield and error rates in the analysis of undervotes:
>http://www.ssc.wisc.edu/~bhansen/vote/vote.html
>The link is to his web page with several articles, the lead article,
>�Recount in Dade County?' derives an 8% misclassification rate based on
>the 20% of Dade County precincts that were analyzed. Hansen estimates
>that a full Miami-Dade recount of the undervote would net Gore 254 votes
>with 95% CI (172, 336).
Assuming that hand counting has an error rate of 8%, assuming that
Bush's lead of 537 votes, based on the machine count, is accurate, and
assuming that the undervotes in the whole state are distributed
identically to the total of the machine counted ballots, what is the
chance that Gore would win a statewide manual count?
=================================================================
Instructions for joining and leaving this list and remarks about
the problem of INAPPROPRIATE MESSAGES are available at
http://jse.stat.ncsu.edu/
=================================================================
