What is a P value? Does anyone can give a simple explanation? I am not using
an easy explanation with my students and maybe some of you are developing
something interesting during classes !

For example, comparing the mean weight of male (M) and female (F) fishes we
have: Mean of M = 2,46kg (n = 59) and Mean of F = 2,51kg (n = 59). Using a t
test, the result is: df = 116, t = 0,26 and P = 0,79.

Searching in books I have found different definitions. The explanation for P
= 0,79 could be.....

1 - the probability of Type I error.
2 - the probability of rejecting a correct null hypothesis.
3 - the probability of incorrectly rejecting the null hypothesis.
4 - the probability of rejecting a null hypothesis when in fact it is true.
5 - the chance of getting statistic as extreme or more extreme than this one
6 - the strength of evidence against an hypothesis
7 - the probability of the observed difference between groups (or a larger
difference) occurs
8 - the probability of obtaining a result equal to or more extreme than what
was actually observed.
9 - ....
10 - ...


What is the best way to explain this P = 0,79 ???


Thanks for any hints !!!



~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Prof. J. C. VOLTOLINI
Grupo de Estudos em Ecologia de Mamiferos (ECOMAM)
Universidade de Taubate, Departamento de Biologia
Praca Marcelino Monteiro 63, Bom Conselho.
Taubate, SP. CEP 12030-010. BRASIL.
Tel: 0XX12 - 2254165 (Lab. Zool.) ou 2254277 (Depto. Biol.)
E-Mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
http://www.ecomam.hpg.ig.com.br
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

"Tutto di noi � un angelo con un'ala e
possiamo volare soltanto se ci abbracciamo"

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