Stephen Turner writes: > This is an advocacy idea. > > It's well-known that exit polling is a highly reliable > > way of predicting results.
There are well-known cases where exit polls get the margins wrong (e.g. Phillipines 2004) or even the results wrong (e.g. USA 2004). It is extremely hard to correct for sampling error in exit polling, making the overall polling accuracy comparable to certain alternatives such as phone polls. For electoral results, both of those are significantly more accurate than, for example, random polling in other public places. Michael Poole ---- election-methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info
