I thought mostly use scenarios where the favourite candidate is not involved in the cycles and the voters know very little about the anticipated results. Another example in this direction would be situation where there are n parties that each have 3 candidates. Voters would then vote so that they first put their own candidates in the front (in some order (ffs)) and then the other parties in the order of preference but arranging the individual candidates within the parties so that they will form cycles (between each others within the parties).

Note btw that this failure of FAVS (as Warren Smith named it) is not really related to the calculation process of the Condorcet methods but to the ballot style. In the typical ballots voters give the candidates a linear order, which prevents them giving cyclic preferences. If they were able to give cyclic preferences then all voters could vote the same way.

In principle (to be general) one could allow voters to fill a matrix instead of giving a linear order. This would make it possible to use also cycles and all kind of partial orderings. A related topic is the tied at the top and tied at the bottom rules where the top candidates may all win each others (or at the bottom lose to each others). Support of the tied at bottom feature would make it unnecessary to vote loops since this way all unwanted candidates would lose to each others. This feature could also be added in the "matrix preference votes" to eliminate some strategic loop considerations.

Also the linear order based ballots could have explicit ways to mark "both lose" and "both win" etc. (instead of the default rules "tied at top",...), but of course this makes voting more complex to the voters (just like allowing full matrix preference votes would do). Using "+" and "-" a ballot might look e.g. a+b>c=d>e-f>g-h-i.

Just for your consideration. Different ballot styles may have an impact on strategies too.

Juho Laatu


On Dec 15, 2006, at 15:02 , Dave Ketchum wrote:

How did we get here?

I assume no ties to simplify the discussion - not to change the rules.

If there is a cycle, such as X>A>Y>X, A backers have no control as to X>A, but they can influence whether there is also a Y>X to create a cycle.

Else, assuming more voters back X than A, A loses and it matters not what ordering A backers choose for others.

If there is no such X, A wins and it matters not how A backers sort those losing to A.

LOOKING CLOSER - If A backers want to be neutral as to B/C/D, they can simply vote for A as they would in Plurality.

On Fri, 15 Dec 2006 00:01:04 +0200 Juho wrote:

Here is one very basic case where a group of voters has identical preferences but they benefit of casting three different kind of ballots. In a Condorcet method there is an interest to create a loop to your opponents. In its simplest form there are four candidates. One of the candidates is our favourite and the others we want to beat. The others may or may not be from one party (this influences the probability of being able to generate a cycle at least if there are more than 4 candidates). Let's anyway assume that all the candidates will get about the same number of votes. Also in a zero info situation this may be a good voting strategy. The A supporters vote according to three patterns as follows.
A>B>C>D
A>C>D>B
A>D>B>C
If all candidates have same number of first place supporters (and other preferences are mixed) and B, C and D supporters don't try to create loops, A wins.
Juho Laatu

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 Dave Ketchum   108 Halstead Ave, Owego, NY  13827-1708   607-687-5026
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