On May 9, 2008, at 13:39 , Jobst Heitzig wrote:

Dear Juho,

you wrote:

(Roughly the question is if one wants to
give Stalin and other unwanted fellows a small probability to become
elected or a zero probability.)

I don't think this is the point. To the contrary, bringing up such examples is quite misleading, I think, because extreme options are not at all a problem of non-deterministic methods only.

Yes, but as I see it the reasons are different. In a typical non- deterministic method like random ballot I think it is the intention to give all candidates with some support also some probability of becoming elected. In the deterministic methods electing some non- popular extremist is typically an unwanted feature and a result of the method somehow failing to elect the best winner.

*No* election or decision method should be applied without first checking the feasibility of options with respect to certain basic requirements. This sorting out the "constitutional" options cannot be subject to a group decision process itself since often the "unconstitutional" options have broad support (Hitler is only the most extreme example for this).

In other words, without such a feasibility check *before* deciding, also majoritarian methods can produce a very bad outcome (think of Rwanda...).

Ok, this looks like an intermediate method where one first has one method (phase 1) that selects a set of acceptable candidates and then uses some other method (phase 2) (maybe non-deterministic) to elect the winner from that set.

There is need for pure non-deterministic methods like random ballot, and pure deterministic methods, and also combinations of different methods may be useful.

Also in the case where the no-good candidates are first eliminated I see the same two different philosophies on how the remaining candidates are handled. Either all remaining candidates (with some support) are given some probability or alternatively one always tries to elect the best winner. The intention was thus not to say non- deterministic methods would not work properly but that there are two philosophies that are quite different and that may be used in different elections depending on the nature of the election.

Due to this difference I'm interested in finding both deterministic and non-deterministic solutions for the challenge.

Juho


Yours, Jobst
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