At 01:52 AM 11/26/2008, Jonathan Lundell wrote:
On Nov 25, 2008, at 8:45 PM, Kevin Venzke wrote:

--- En date de : Mar 25.11.08, Abd ul-Rahman Lomax <[EMAIL PROTECTED] > a écrit :
What Approval sincerely represents from a voter is a
*decision* as to where to place an Approval cutoff.

But is it not true that what *all* methods sincerely represent from a
voter are the decisions related to voting under that method?

If a decision makes sense in a given context, then that is a sincere
decision. Is that not your stance?

It shouldn't be. "Sincere" is a term of art in this context, not a
value judgement. An insincere vote is simply one that does not
represent the preference of the voter if the voter were a dictator.
There's nothing *wrong* with voting insincerely (or, equivalently,
strategically), in this sense; a voter has a right to do their best to
achieve an optimum result in a particular context. ----
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That is more or less correct, except that "sincere" may refer to any vote that doesn't reverse preference. Again, Mr. Lundell is right, there is nothing wrong with voting in a manner that is intended to improve the outcome as the voter sees it. A decent method will not be *seriously* harmed by this behavior. A poor method may actually be improved.

This should be explored explicitly.

With poor voting systems, strategic voting not only improves the outcome for the individual voter, but it also may improve it for the overall society. Consider Florida 2000. Many of us might think that the outcome would have been better if the Nader supporters had voted "strategically." Plurality needs that kind of help to find a compromise winner better than the first preference winner. So might IRV -- though it needs it less. Favorite Betrayal is a means whereby some voters in IRV, by voting insincerely, can improve the overall outcome for a majority of voters.

But when a system is really good, like Range, strategic voting impairs the ability of the system to find the optimal winner. However, the failure isn't catastrophic, because the Range Votes still preserve preference order; they are essentially Approval votes. So "strategic Range" degrades to Approval, not to some major failure. Approval, likewise, degrades to Plurality under some circumstances, but these would be poor strategy, applied by too many voters.

(The majority of voters under Approval, in most elections, may bullet vote, it's sincere and if it is for a frontrunner, it's optimal or almost-optimal. It is only a few voters who need to add additional approvals. Under some definitions of sincere voting -- the ones used by critics of Approval, these are possibly "insincere" because the voter is suppressing their preference, the minor candidate who can't win, in order to cast a vote in the meaningful election, i.e., the only pairwise election -- normally -- where a vote has a chance of being other than moot. But I wouldn't call those votes insincere, they merely do not express a preference in a candidate pair, but sincerely express preference for the pair -- either of both members -- over all other candidates.)

That "strategic voting" harms results in Range is then misused by critics as a criticism of Range. In fact, Range with strategic voting does not degrade to the point that it is not better than other methods. Obviously, if all voters vote using Approval strategy -- which doesn't really improve expected results for many of them -- the method has fully degraded to Approval. Which is still an excellent method, with lower average regret in the simulations than Plurality or IRV.


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