At 08:10 PM 1/26/2010, Juho wrote:

The scenario that you described requires some goodwill among the
voters.

That's correct. We seem to imagine that better voting systems will produce better results even if people continue to lack goodwill and cooperative spirit. It's a fantasy. There are structural changes that will encourage the seeking of consensus, but voting methods are only a tiny part of that.

 If the competition is really strong then one could expect the
70% of the voters not to even mention the 99% approved candidate in
the polls if they already know that they have 70% majority behind
their first preference.

That's right, if they don't care about alienating 30% of the members of the organization, an organization that breaks down and becomes dysfunctional if people fight with each other and fail to respect the need for unity.

On the other hand the availability of reliable poll information may
reduce the competitive spirit of the election.

What you do is to poll, and allowing approval polling is simple, nobody even though of suggesting that people only vote once in the show of hands. The question wasn't a preference question, it was "would you consider this choice acceptable." The poll wasn't going to decide anything, and this was a group of people whose culture facilitated and encouraged complete honesty, and the whole thing would become a stupid waste of time without the honesty, it was fundamental and crucial, or even more than a stupid waste of time, positively harmful.

 Some part of strategic
voting and strong competitiveness is based on the fear of unknown and
lack of understanding of the viewpoints of the others. If all take a
defensive attitude from the start and paint all their competitors with
dark colours then there may never be any consensus.

Right.

 In typical
political environments good poll information including approvals and
ratings is thus a positive thing, but it may still be necessary to
assume that strong competition is not uncommon in the actual election
and prepare for that.

Yes. I do suggest Bucklin. Most voters will bullet vote, it's very likely, but, then, use it as a primary in a runoff system, which provides a very specific meaning to the lowest approved rank: I prefer the election of this candidate to holding a runoff. It's an absolute, sincere vote that is strategically maximal! Because that is exactly the effect it has, monotonically.

Voters may also understand that a society that makes consensus
decisions may be a better place to live in than a society where the
current majority always ignores the minorities. And people may vote
for parties that support this approach. But also here, it may still be
wise to allow the majority to decide when consensus decisions (that
cover also the needs of the other side) will be made. In a way we are
talking about a "benevolent majority" and the growth of a society
towards away from a conflict driven mode.

Majority rule is a crucial foundation for democracy. But if the majority is stupid, it can wreck the place, and everyone is in the minority from time to time. Seeking supermajority approval actually helps everyone, long-term, but there is a tradeoff with efficiency.

Yes, the good part of Range is in the satisfaction measurements. I
think the strategy problems are very real in many environments, not
just hot air. So one must be careful with Range.

The typical error is in assuming some "strategic" faction which votes sensibly, when everyone else votes in a way that they will regret if they discover the result they cause.

[...]
There is a natural incentive to the two largest groupings to promote
this kind of polarization. And a two-party system is a demonstration
that such systems may also work reasonably well in practice.

Sometimes, when the social contract is strong and the distance between the two parties is actually not large (i.e., Tweedledum and Tweedledee might be a bit of a good thing!), it works, but sometimes it leads to civil war and genocide, when the polarization becomes too great....
----
Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

Reply via email to