I have never liked the 80-80 Rule as liberal as some may 
think it is.  I've even toyed with the idea of writing a paper 
about it, but I think I'd go to sleep writing it, let alone 
presenting it.  

If you take the basic premise statistically and work out the 
numbers yourself, you will surprised at the results.  

Say you have a given a total population of 100 products. 
In that total population, you expect 20 products to fail. 
Now, you take 5 samples from that population and 
calculate the probability of failure. 

The chances of 1 product failing in the 5 samples drawn 
is 42%.  The probability of 2 products failing from 5 samples 
in the above example is 21%. 

IOW, you have a 1 in 5 chance of failing the 80-80 Rule 
by following it.  That's bad.  And if your company is into 
the practice of shipping relatively small amounts of product, 
that can be bad also. 

- Doug McKean 



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