Ed,

Are you sure that you are seeing sumac on recent tip-up mounds in small 
openings in the forest?  Around here, sambucus or elderberry are the ones that 
show up there the quickest and have compound leaves that appear similar to 
sumac if you haven't made the distinction in the past.  Elderberry is rapidly 
spread by bird droppings, but sumac seems very slow to be introduced into 
openings where I live.  The order of shrub colonization intensity in new 
openings around here is roughly:

common buckthorn
glossy buckthorn
various Eurasian honeysuckles
American elderberry
gray and red-osier dogwoods
sumacs
prickly-ash

I think that this is driven by the seed/berry preference order by birds, too, 
primarily bohemian and cedar waxwings.

Paul J.

---- Edward Frank <[email protected]> wrote: 

=============
ENTS,

I have been thinking about various pioneer species and global warming.  If you 
are out in the woods and find a freshly upturned root mass, and an opening,  
often there will be a sumac growing on it.  There isn't any sumacs obviously 
growing anywhere in the area.  The seeds for these pioneer species, like sumac 
and aralia spinosa, must be able to reach a long distance (or what?) in order 
to colonize these disturbed areas.  Considering that, and the amount of man 
made disturbance of the soil, I am thinking that these species may be the ones 
that can expand their range faster in response to global warming than most 
other species and could migrate northward faster than most other species.  

Another factor is the typical lifespan of a species.  The northward limit of a 
species can be considered the point at which the climate is too cold for the 
species.  Many could probably live farther north than they do presently most 
years, except that periodically there is a real cold snap that can kill them 
off.  So a species that lives a long time would have a greater chance of 
experiencing one of these killer cold snaps in its lifetime than a shorter 
lived species.  Many of these pioneer species have a short lifespan - most seem 
to die out before they reach 30.  So if the killer cold snap occurred every 100 
years, there would be several generations of trees between cold snaps.  these 
species could therefore migrate farther into the cold territory than longer 
lived species - assuming comparable amounts of northward expansion per 
generation.  If the pioneer species expand faster per generation, they could 
expand their range even further.  

One of the concerns of the climate change is that the climate may be warming 
even faster than the trees can migrate northward.  Perhaps this will favor the 
shorter lived species as the warming occurs, and perhaps it will favor the 
short lived, pioneer species like sumac and devils walking stick even ore than 
other species.  This is just an idea I had on the subject.  Anybody else have 
ideas or opinions on this subject?

Ed Frank



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