Ed-
You have missed a primary source...many of the 'pioneering' species, as well as 
illegal aliens, have the advantage of long viability.  Found in the seedbank, 
right on the site, seeds from prior disturbances may remain dormant for long 
enough periods of time to 'come back to life' with new disturbances.
-Don

From: [email protected]
To: [email protected]
Subject: [ENTS] Pioneer species and Global Warming
Date: Fri, 20 Mar 2009 12:34:31 -0400










ENTS,
 
I have been thinking about various pioneer species and global 
warming.  If you are out in the woods and find a freshly upturned root 
mass, and an opening,  often there will be a sumac growing on it.  
There isn't any sumacs obviously growing anywhere in the area.  The seeds 
for these pioneer species, like sumac and aralia spinosa, must be able to reach 
a long distance (or what?) in order to colonize these disturbed areas.  
Considering that, and the amount of man made disturbance of the soil, I 
am thinking that these species may be the ones that can expand their range 
faster in response to global warming than most other species and could migrate 
northward faster than most other species.  
 
Another factor is the typical lifespan of a species.  The northward 
limit of a species can be considered the point at which the climate is too 
cold for the species.  Many could probably live farther north than they do 
presently most years, except that periodically there is a real cold snap that 
can kill them off.  So a species that lives a long time would have a 
greater chance of experiencing one of these killer cold snaps in its lifetime 
than a shorter lived species.  Many of these pioneer species have a short 
lifespan - most seem to die out before they reach 30.  So if the killer 
cold snap occurred every 100 years, there would be several generations of trees 
between cold snaps.  these species could therefore migrate farther into the 
cold territory than longer lived species - assuming comparable amounts of 
northward expansion per generation.  If the pioneer species expand faster 
per generation, they could expand their range even further.  
 
One of the concerns of the climate change is that the climate may be 
warming even faster than the trees can migrate northward.  Perhaps this 
will favor the shorter lived species as the warming occurs, and perhaps it will 
favor the short lived, pioneer species like sumac and devils walking stick even 
ore than other species.  This is just an idea I had on the subject.  
Anybody else have ideas or opinions on this subject?
 
Ed Frank





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