--- Jaakko_Pitk�j�rvi <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > ----- Original Message ----- > From: "John Lovda" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> > > This is one of the unfortunate aspects of digital > > photography. A nice film camera such as a Leica, > > Nikon, Canon can hold its value over time. > Regardless > > of the quality or how beautifully constructed a > > digital body may be, they are now in EXACTLY the > same > > situation as a personal computer in terms of > resale > > value. They drop like a rock when the next model > > comes out. > > At this moment true every word. But I suppose > dropping of body prices gets slower in future. For > example, editorial staff at my client magazine use > now digitals in general photos and film for two page > spread-photos. So, in practise around 80% of photos > are digital. And they are going 100% digital as soon > as possible. Now they have 1D in use, but after 1Ds > comes out, I am sure they'll buy them and abandon > film bodies. But that's it. You have to remember > that at least now pro-DSLRs are used in practise > only by pros, who shoot for magazines. Once they get > quality they need for digital process, need for even > more better image quality is not so relevant. D60 > for example is not a pinnacle of DSLRs and leaves > wishes for image quality in magazine use, but 1Ds > may be "good enough" nearly for everyone with 11.1 > Mpx and allow to use body several years onwards. > This same phenomenon happened to cellphones and is > going to happen to DSLRs as well IMO. > > I also believe, that once around 15 Mpx quality has > been achieved by consumer DSLRs like "D120" or > "D240", there is no raging intention to change body > for ordinary user and this dropping of prices will > slow down once we all list members have at least one > digital body....in order to give some time > scale..:-) > > Just 2 years ago we "all-analog EOSers" waited D30 > to appear to dealers. Now, 1Ds is in the same > situation. Think 2 years onwards and there's > completely new cameras coming at Photokina 2004. > Maybe some 15-20 Mpx models, who knows. The > transition time from analog to digital may be > shorter than predicted after all. > Sensor size is not the end of the road. Advancements will come in digital signal processing such as noise reduction and effective ASA rating. Maybe a new compression algorithm to replace JPEG that is higher with less loss. There are also issues such as user convenience features; maybe 802.11 wireless data transfer to the PC. If you look at the world of consumer electronics, you can see that new features are endless. Finally, even though no one likes to think it, remember that Canon changed from FD to EOS and it could happen again. These huge sensors that are forcing $10K SLRs are only in existance because we want to use our existing EF lenses. If 14mp sensors with low noise and high sensitivity can be made at one forth the size (like an IC), why waste money on big glass?
John Lovda __________________________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New DSL Internet Access from SBC & Yahoo! http://sbc.yahoo.com * **** ******* *********************************************************** * For list instructions, including unsubscribe, see: * http://www.a1.nl/phomepag/markerink/eos_list.htm ***********************************************************
