The statement was made: 

"The problem I have is that I can't predict the future
and it is not 100% certain that things will continue
to go in the direction they are going currently."

The only constant in the world is change!  You have to
jump in somewhere because you will never win.  Either
the camera is discontinued before you expected or the
price drops dramatically right after you buy it.

John Lovda
--- "Joe B." <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> I'm hoping this is an appropriate place to post this
> question. I'm an amateur but serious photographer. I
> use mostly prime lenses and do available light
> photography, most of which is handheld and at wide
> apertures, but I do sometimes use tripods. I do much
> more black and white than colour. I do landscapes,
> cityscapes, and informal portraits, plus other stuff
> from time to time, but no sports or nature and I
> rarely use a lens outside of 17mm-210mm. I often use
> fast 50-100mm lenses with AF for the portraits,
> especially with young children. I have been doing a
> lot more recently with Rolleflex TLRs and I like
> that kind of quality for black and white where it is
> practical to use such a camera. 
> 
> My current dilemma is that I have been using the
> Minolta Maxxum (Dynax) system for a few years for my
> AF needs, but keeping one eye on the current and
> future development of the system that is looking
> more and more like a poor choice. Before the advent
> of digital photography the situation was relatively
> uncomplicated- one could choose the AF system that
> met one's film photography needs and that was it.
> Now things are different and it is obvious that the
> prescence or absence of digital slrs from a system
> is a consideration for anyone who knows they will
> want one in the future. I can't predict what Minolta
> will do in the future but I do not have a sense of
> security about them since they are lagging far
> behind in so many areas, and looking over the garden
> fence I see that EOS users already have access to
> digital slrs with very high image quality. (FWIW I
> also see that serious photographers' equipment needs
> are being met by Canon in ways that Minolta may
> never be able to equal). S
>  ince I would like to be able to use a digital slr
> myself in a couple of years it seems that it would
> make more sense for me to change to an EOS system
> now. 
> 
> The problem I have is that I can't predict the
> future and it is not 100% certain that things will
> continue to go in the direction they are going
> currently. We are no longer tied in to existing film
> formats with digital slrs and there is a possibility
> that someone will develop a new digital slr system
> that will supercede existing systens. It is even
> possible that Canon might do this themselves. After
> all they did it to themselves before when they
> dropped the FD system. However, the EOS lenses are
> already electronic, designed to be so from the
> ground upwards and so there would seem to be less
> reason to want to reinvent the wheel there. But even
> so, things just aren't as safe and predictable as
> when everybody was using film.  
> 
> So I what I'm after is other peoples' feelings on
> the probable life expectancy of the EOS system, and
> whether this is a good time to switch. My assumption
> (but that is all it is) is that there wil continue
> to be new EOS digital SLRs for some years yet to use
> the EOS lenses, and that the image quality available
> will be very high, and that buying into the EOS
> system now would be a rational move. If that is so
> then I could get an EOS system now with my most
> basic needs- which would probably be a 1n, a 24, 50
> and an 85 or 100 and then I could buy more lenses as
> I go on, and seriously consider a digital body when
> the current high end quality comes in a body that
> costs around $1000, which I'm guessing would be in a
> couple of years time. Does this make sense? Any
> stabs at predicting the future of EOS would be most
> helpful.   
> 


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