On 21 Jun 2002, at 1:30, David Weinshenker wrote:

> Hmmm... doctors say that you should not subject a patient to tests which
> will have no benefit in makeing treatment decisions; and that's a fairly
> sensible position.

    Sensible if they can be _sure_ the tests will have no benefit.  This 
may be true in many, perhaps most cases.  But, as a blanket 
prohibition, it presupposes that every diagnosis is infallible. That, clearly, 
is ludicrous.  But I'm getting off-topic...

> Programmers have been known to say, "Never test for an
> error condition that you're not prepared to handle." - that has a certain
> ironic fatalism to it... it may do you no good to see it coming, if it's too
> late (or if you don't have the means) to duck. 
> 

    This, at bottom, is the same argument that some SDI opponents 
used: If the system can't stop 100% of incoming ICBMs, it shouldn't be 
deployed.

    Personally, I'd want to know about every impactor -- no matter how 
short the advance notice.  Even in the worst possible case, it would give 
me time to pray, or say goodbye.  With a few hours or days of warning, 
many would survive who would otherwise have been lost -- as others have 
pointed out.

> But then on the other hand (was this the premise of the stories you
> mention?) if you see a really big one far enough out that you've got time to
> start building a response...
> 

    Sure: the more warning you have, the better your survival rate -- up to 
the optimum outcome, which involves a successful deflection.

Chris
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