On May 1, 2015, at 4:02 PM, Lee Hart via EV <[email protected]> wrote:

> You'd also murder a lithium pack in a few years, if you deeply discharged it 
> every day.

Not if you've got a smart BMS that prevents you from murdering it and instead 
reports that the battery is empty regardless of how much remaining charge there 
is when you'd damage it if you discharged it further.

As evidence...see all the Teslas on the road with nary a report of an 
underperforming battery and lots of reports of batteries significantly 
outperforming projections.

> You have to select the size and type of battery according to the application. 
> Some will be best served with lead-acid, some nickel-iron, others lithium etc.

That's true today...but I don't think it will remain true much longer.

Lithium is probably already at the 80/20 rule for technical performance 
compared with nickel-iron...and it's a lot cheaper. It's more upfront capital 
than lead-acid...but has such a longer lifespan and better performance that 
lead-acid's days are numbered as well.

The real clincher is that there're huge opportunities of scale ramping up for 
lithium for vehicular batteries. Maybe lithium isn't the ideal technology for 
other settings...but, if lithium is "good enough" for those settings, its 
ubiquity and increasingly-cheaper price are going to make it the de-facto 
chemistry of batteries in basically any setting save for a few niches.

...and lithium has some perks going for it for the home, as well. Tesla's 
marketing materials show their new batteries hanging on the wall just like a 
breaker box or an inverter. Try doing _that_ with lead-acid!

b&
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