I think this is too small a dataset to form a conclusion, though I hope
it is a positive indication. The biggest unknown is how the market would
respond if there were 10 or 20 different makers of model 3-like cars.
Would that mean 10-20 times the sales overall or would it dilute the
existing sales in a more-or-less fixed size market.
Peri
------ Original Message ------
From: "EVDL Administrator via EV" <[email protected]>
To: "Electric Vehicle Discussion List" <[email protected]>
Cc: "EVDL Administrator" <[email protected]>
Sent: 11-Dec-18 8:51:15 AM
Subject: Re: [EVDL] EVLN: Musk walked-back on PV roof> its stupid
On 11 Dec 2018 at 14:18, paul dove via EV wrote:
There were 6 million vehicles sold in the US in 2017. 50,000 model 3's
is a
niche.
From July through October of 2018, Tesla sold 72,050 model 3 cars. In
the
same period, Toyota sold 87,912 Corollas. So Tesla is right on their
tail,
only 18% fewer, and a Toyota Corolla isn't what I'd call a niche
vehicle.
During that same time, Nissan moved just 5,261 Leaves. During the
same
period in 2017 (I can't find 2018 sales figures), Chevrolet shifted 24%
more
Corvettes (6,529). The Corvette is unquestionably a niche car, so if
Leaves
sell even more slowly, what should we call the Leaf?
I wish it weren't so, but there it is. The Leaf is a niche vehicle.
But
the good news is that Tesla 3 is NOT, at least right now.
Will Tesla 3 sales hold up once the tax credits are gone? Who knows,
but
I'll say this, right now Tesla is by miles the EV sales leader. I
never
expected to see those kinds of sales numbers for ANY EV this early in
the
21st century.
David Roden - Akron, Ohio, USA
EVDL Administrator
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