Just some nitpics...

>> Is solar thermal water heating *still* more efficient?

> Suppose you have a limited roof area that can only collect 1 KWH of
energy.
> PV cells might convert that into 150 watts of electricity.  A solar
water heat
> might convert it into 300 watts of heat in your water heater. Which is
more useful to you?

But using a heatpump water heater can convert that 150W of electricity to
the equivalent of 450 Watts (BTU's) due to its Coeficient of performance
being 3 to 1.

> But most roofs are so large that the amount of solar energy available is
"limitless".

I disagree.  Almost everyone is roof limited.  They use more energy than
they have roof.
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