Larry Gales via EV wrote:
Those sound like real world solutions to me
EVDL Administrator via EV wrote:
I totally agree! You're describing a Tesla. But that's my perspective and yours, not the average US vehicle buyer's. ... To sum up, here is why Americans bought 817% more Cherokees than Model Xs in 2018. 38% more cargo space 17% more interior volume 108% - 158% more range (that is, 2.1 to 2.6 times as far between stops) 57% cheaper
That's a great summary of the situation, David. To your list I would add: - because it's what everyone else is buying (i.e. stay with the herd).
But a lot of things could change in the next few years. The US is on the verge of starting another shooting war in the Mideast, which would probably cause oil prices to jump. Especially if it affected the QUANTITY of fuel available, that might suddenly make EVs a real world solution for lots more people. Chinese and/or Indian EV manufacturers could flood the US with decent, affordable EVs. That could further expand EV sales, in the same way that the Japanese automakers expanded small, fuel-efficient ICEV sales during the mid-1970s Mideast oil crunch..
Yes, these are possible scenarios.
The mainstream automakers might even get serious about selling EVs, regardless of foreign competition. I don't think that's very likely, though.
More likely, they would get more serious about *stopping* EVs from further eroding their market. Impose tariffs or bans on inported EVs. Buy out companies like Tesla that dare to build them in the US. Lobby to get laws to penalize EVs and favor ICEs.
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