On Monday, August 12, 2002, at 11:18  PM, Wei Dai wrote:

> Tim, I'm afraid I still don't understand you.
>
> On Mon, Aug 12, 2002 at 06:00:26PM -0700, Tim May wrote:
>> It is possible that WWIII will happen before the end of this year. In
>> one possible world, A, many things are one way...burned, melted,
>> destroyed, etc. In another possible world, B, things are dramatically
>> different.
>
> Ok, but what about my point that you can state this by explicit
> quantification over possible worlds rather than using modal operators?
> I.e., "There exist a world accessible from this one where WWIII happens
> before the end of this year." instead of "It is possible that WWIII will
> happen before the end of this year."?

That is indeed saying just the same thing (though the language is 
slightly different).

The important part of modal logic is not in the "accessible from this 
one" or "it is possible" language.

Rather, the "forking paths" (a la Borges) picture that is described by 
posets and lattices.

>
>> There can be no implication from one world to the other. That is, we
>> can't say "A implies B" or "B implies A."
>
> What does that have to do with my question? Anyway A and B are supposed 
> to
> be worlds here, not propositions, so of course you can't say "A implies
> B". I don't know what point you're trying to make here.

Worlds _are_ propositions. And the "causal operator" (time) is the same 
as implication.

With some important caveats that I can't easily explain without drawing 
a picture. In conventional logic, implication is fully-contained or 
defined from some event A (or perhaps some combination of events A, B, 
C, etc., all causally contributing to a later event).

There are two interesting cases to consider where implication does not 
follow so easily from A:

1. Possible worlds. The event A forks down two (or more) possible paths. 
A future where war occurs, a future where war does not. A future where 
Fermat's Last Theorem is proved to be true. A future where it is not. A 
future of heads, a future of tails.

2. Quantum mechanics. Schrodinger's cat.

(It was Einstein and Podolsky's belief that classical logic must apply 
that led to their belief that there _must_ be some other cause, some 
hidden variable, that makes the outcome follow classical logic. Bohm, 
too. But we know from Bell's Theorem and the Kochen-Specker "no-go" 
theorems that, basically, these hidden variables are not extant.)

(By the way, the book "Interpreting the Quantum World," by Jeffrey Bub, 
has an interesting section on how modal logic applies to QM.)

Bruno is much more of a logician than I am, but the various terms of 
logic, lattices, and set theory are analogous (probably a very efficient 
category theory metaview, but I don't yet know it).

1 is True
0 is False
lattice infimum or Boolean meet, ^ , is conjunction (AND)
lattice supremum or Boolean join, v , is disjunction (OR)
lattice or Boolean orthocomplement is negation (NOT)

(Understanding this is not essential to my arguments here...I just 
wanted to make the point that there are mappings between the languages 
of logic, set theory, and lattices. In a deep sense, they are all the 
same thing. Definitions do matter, of course, but e-mail is not a great 
place to lay out long lists of definitions!)


>
>> This branching future is exactly what I was talking about a week or so
>> ago in terms of "partially ordered sets." If the order relationship is
>> "occurs before or at the same time as," which is equivalent to "less
>> than or equal to," A and B cannot be linearly ordered. In fact, since
>> both A and B are completely different states, neither can be said to be
>> a predecessor or parent of the other. In fact, A and B are not
>> comparable.
>
> I'm with you so far in this paragraph.
>
>> We cannot say "A or not-A."
>
> Now I'm lost again. Again A is a world not a proposition so what 
> would "A
> or not-A" mean even if A and B are comparable?

The two forks in the road are given the same truth value weighting in 
this "possible worlds" approach.

We have _assumed_ A in this fork I described, so "not-A" is certainly 
not necessarily the other path. In fact, the meaningful interpretation 
of "not-A" in the complement sense is "that which precedes A," that is, 
the events leading up to A in this world.

I realize this sounds confusing. Draw a picture. Just have three points 
in it, arranged in a triangle:

A           B

   \       /

       X

Time is in the upward direction. The points/events/states X, A, B form a 
poset. One arrow between any two points. Pre-ordering (reflexive, 
transitive) and partial-ordering (reflexive, transitive, antisymmetric).

We cannot, however, say "X implies A" because X has given rise to _both_ 
A and B.

Besides the possible worlds situation, where we "assume" X could give 
rise to either of these events, there is also the distinct possibility 
that this will be the only logic we ever know for quantum mechanics. The 
situation X gives rise to either the cat being dead or alive at the time 
we make the measurement, and it makes no logical sense to sense that 
"but there must be some hidden cause because nature works by Boolean or 
Aristotelian logic."

Further, this situation describes many cases of incomplete knowledge. As 
Lee Smolin and Fotini Markopoulou have pointed out so  convincingly, 
there are events outside our light cone which will combine in various 
ways with other events to produce futures which look exactly like these 
posets and lattices. (I described this in some detail in some earlier 
posts.)

>
> If anyone else understand the point Tim is making please help me out...

I hope my various posts this morning have helped. If not, I attribute 
this mainly to our inability to communicate with drawings on a 
blackboard and to different backgrounds. It may be that we are seeing 
things exactly the same way, just using different terminology.

--Tim May
"That government is best which governs not at all." --Henry David Thoreau

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