On 10/18/2025 10:43 PM, Alan Grayson wrote:


                        Why does Born's rule depend on collapse
                        of wf? AG
                        Where did I say it did?

                        Brent


                    The greatest mathematicians tried to prove
                    Euclid's 5th postulate from the other four,
                    and failed; and the greatest physicists have
                    tried to dervive Born's rule from the
                    postulates of QM, and failed;, except for
                    Brent Meeker in the latter case. You claimed
                    it in the negative, by claiming that without
                    collapse, Born's rule would fail in some world
                    of the MWI. An assertion is just that, an
                    assertion. Can you prove it using mathematics? AG

                    Sure.  Consider a sequence of n=4 Bernoulli
                    trials.  Let h be the number of heads.  Then we
                    can make a table of the number of all possible
                    sequences bc with exactly h heads and with the
                    corresponding observed proportion h/n

                         h       bc       h/n
                        0         1        0.0
                        1         4        0.25
                        2         6        0.5
                        3         4        0.75
                        4         1        1.0

                    So each possible sequence will correspond to
                    one of Everett's worlds.  For example hhht and
                    hthh belong to the fourth line h=3.  There are
                    sixteen possible sequences, so there will be
                    sixteen worlds and a fraction 6/16=0.3125 will
                    exhibit a prob(h)~0.5.

                    But suppose it was an unfair coin, loaded so
                    that the probability of tails was 0.9. The
                    possible sequences are the same, but now we can
                    apply the Born rule and calculate probabilities
                    for the various sequences, as follows:

                         h       bc       h/n  prob
                        0         1        0.0 0.656
                        1         4        0.25 0.292
                        2         6        0.5 0.049
                        3         4        0.75 0.003
                        4         1        1.0 0.000

                    So  most of the observers will get empirical
                    answers that differ drastically from the Born
                    rule values.  The six worlds that observe 0.5
                    will be off by a factor of 1.8.  And notice the
                    error only becomes greater as longer test
                    sequences are used. The number of sequences
                    peak more sharply around 0.5 while the the Born
                    values peak more sharply around 0.9.

                    Brent


*Any particular reason you labeled second column as bc? AG *
Yes, it's an abbreviation.


                Sorry, I don't quite understand your example? What
                has this to-do with collapse of the wf and the MWI?
                Where is collapse implied or not? How is Born's
                rule applied when the wf is discrete? AG
                You wrote, "...claiming that without
                collapse,/Born's rule would fail in some world of
                the MWI/....Can you prove it using mathematics?"  So
                I showed that in MWI, which is without collapse, 6
                out of 16 experimenters will observe p=0.5 even in a
                case in which the Born rule says the likelihood of
                p=0.5 is 0.049.  Of course your challenge was
                confused since it is not Born's rule that fails. 
                Born's rule is well supported by thousands if not
                millions of experiments.  Rather it is that MWI
                fails...unless it includes a weighting to enforce
                the Born rule. But as Bruce points out there is no
                mechanism for this.  If the experiment is done to
                measure the probability (with no assumption of the
                Born rule) then there are 16 possible sequences of
                four measurements and 6 of them give p=0.5 and
                6/16=0.375, making p=0.5 the most likely of the four
                outcomes.   What this has to do with collapse of the
                wave function is just that the Born rule predicts
                the probabilities of what it will collapse to.  So
                (assuming MWI) there are still 6 of the 16 who see
                2h and 2t but somehow those 6 experimenters have
                only a small weight of some kind. Their existence is
                kind of wispy and not-robust.

                Brent


            I didn't mean to imply that Born's rule is violated. But
            what you need to do IMO, is show how Born's rule is
            applied to your assumed events as seen without collapse
            in some world of the MWI. Otherwise, you just have a set
            of claims without any proof of their validity. AG


        You say Born's rule will do this or that, but you don't say
        exactly HOW it will do this or that. AG
        I only wrote "... the Born rule says..." and "... the Born
        rule predicts..."  If you don't understand how a mathematical
        formula can "say" or "predict" I can't help you.

        Brent


    To use Born's rule, you need a wf.
    Not if you already know the probability of |1> and |0> which
    values I just assumed.  Do you need me to take the square roots
    and write down the corresponding wave function, 0.949|0> + 0.316|1>


*Is this wf for the biased coin? For the unbiased, I would expect the multiplying parameters would be the same and equal to .5. AG *
No, that would be 0.707 for each.

Brent

    What is the wf one gets from your h-t scenarios? That is, how do
    you calulate Born's rule in your scenario. Why is  this so hard
    to understand?
    For who?
    if we have two ways to do the calculation, with collapse and
    no-collapse in this-world, and we get different answers, then the
    MWI is falsified (assuming that Born's rule give the correct
    answer). We can share the prize. AG
    No because those aren't the only two possibilities.  In fact
    advocates of MWI also use the Born rule as a "weight" for the
    various worlds, but brushing under the rug the fact that this
    weight is just the probability of that world happening.  They
    don't like that because they want all the worlds to happen, so
    they think of it as the probability that you experience that
    world...even though you experience all of them.

    Brent

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