On 10/17/2025 5:42 AM, Alan Grayson wrote:


On Thursday, October 16, 2025 at 11:13:05 PM UTC-6 Brent Meeker wrote:



    On 10/16/2025 9:30 PM, Alan Grayson wrote:


    On Thursday, October 16, 2025 at 6:55:27 PM UTC-6 Brent Meeker wrote:



        On 10/16/2025 4:59 PM, Alan Grayson wrote:


        On Thursday, October 16, 2025 at 2:26:20 PM UTC-6 Brent
        Meeker wrote:



            On 10/16/2025 3:41 AM, Alan Grayson wrote:


            On Wednesday, October 15, 2025 at 7:52:07 PM UTC-6 Alan
            Grayson wrote:

                On Tuesday, October 14, 2025 at 10:24:42 PM UTC-6
                Brent Meeker wrote:



                    On 10/14/2025 12:20 PM, Alan Grayson wrote:


                    On Monday, October 13, 2025 at 10:28:30 PM
                    UTC-6 Brent Meeker wrote:



                        On 10/13/2025 5:04 AM, Alan Grayson wrote:


                        On Sunday, October 12, 2025 at
                        11:50:58 PM UTC-6 Brent Meeker wrote:



                            On 10/12/2025 10:18 PM, Alan Grayson
                            wrote:


                            On Sunday, October 12, 2025 at
                            10:37:32 PM UTC-6 Brent Meeker wrote:

                                If there's no collapse then
                                every possible sequence of
                                results is observed in some
                                world and the relative counts of
                                UP v. DOWN in the ensemble of
                                worlds will have a binomial
                                distribution. So for a large
                                numbers of trials those worlds
                                in which UPs and DOWNs are
                                roughly equal will predominate,
                                regardless of what the Born rule
                                says.  So in order that the Born
                                rule be satisfied for values
                                other than 50/50 there must be
                                some kind of selective weight
                                that enhances the number of
                                sequences close to the Born rule
                                instead of every possible
                                sequence being of equal weight. 
                                But then that is inconsistent
                                with both values occuring on
                                every trial.

                                Brent


                            Why does Born's rule depend on
                            collapse of wf? AG
                            Where did I say it did?

                            Brent


                        The greatest mathematicians tried to
                        prove Euclid's 5th postulate from the
                        other four, and failed; and the greatest
                        physicists have tried to dervive Born's
                        rule from the postulates of QM, and
                        failed;, except for Brent Meeker in the
                        latter case. You claimed it in the
                        negative, by claiming that without
                        collapse, Born's rule would fail in some
                        world of the MWI. An assertion is just
                        that, an assertion. Can you prove it
                        using mathematics? AG

                        Sure.  Consider a sequence of n=4
                        Bernoulli trials.  Let h be the number of
                        heads. Then we can make a table of the
                        number of all possible sequences bc with
                        exactly h heads and with the corresponding
                        observed proportion h/n

                             h       bc  h/n
                            0         1 0.0
                            1         4 0.25
                            2         6 0.5
                            3         4 0.75
                            4         1 1.0

                        So each possible sequence will correspond
                        to one of Everett's worlds.  For example
                        hhht and hthh belong to the fourth line
                        h=3. There are sixteen possible sequences,
                        so there will be sixteen worlds and a
                        fraction 6/16=0.3125 will exhibit a
                        prob(h)~0.5.

                        But suppose it was an unfair coin, loaded
                        so that the probability of tails was 0.9. 
                        The possible sequences are the same, but
                        now we can apply the Born rule and
                        calculate probabilities for the various
                        sequences, as follows:

                             h       bc  h/n     prob
                            0         1 0.0      0.656
                            1         4 0.25    0.292
                            2         6 0.5      0.049
                            3         4 0.75    0.003
                            4         1 1.0      0.000

                        So  most of the observers will get
                        empirical answers that differ drastically
                        from the Born rule values. The six worlds
                        that observe 0.5 will be off by a factor
                        of 1.8.  And notice the error only becomes
                        greater as longer test sequences are
                        used.  The number of sequences peak more
                        sharply around 0.5 while the the Born
                        values peak more sharply around 0.9.

                        Brent


                    Sorry, I don't quite understand your example?
                    What has this to-do with collapse of the wf
                    and the MWI? Where is collapse implied or not?
                    How is Born's rule applied when the wf is
                    discrete? AG
                    You wrote, "...claiming that without
                    collapse,/Born's rule would fail in some world
                    of the MWI/....Can you prove it using
                    mathematics?"  So I showed that in MWI, which
                    is without collapse, 6 out of 16 experimenters 
                    will observe p=0.5 even in a case in which the
                    Born rule says the likelihood of p=0.5 is
                    0.049. Of course your challenge was confused
                    since it is not Born's rule that fails.  Born's
                    rule is well supported by thousands if not
                    millions of experiments. Rather it is that MWI
                    fails...unless it includes a weighting to
                    enforce the Born rule. But as Bruce points out
                    there is no mechanism for this. If the
                    experiment is done to measure the probability
                    (with no assumption of the Born rule) then
                    there are 16 possible sequences of four
                    measurements and 6 of them give p=0.5 and
                    6/16=0.375, making p=0.5 the most likely of the
                    four outcomes.   What this has to do with
                    collapse of the wave function is just that the
                    Born rule predicts the probabilities of what it
                    will collapse to.  So (assuming MWI) there are
                    still 6 of the 16 who see 2h and 2t but somehow
                    those 6 experimenters have only a small weight
                    of some kind.  Their existence is kind of wispy
                    and not-robust.

                    Brent


                I didn't mean to imply that Born's rule is
                violated. But what you need to do IMO, is show how
                Born's rule is applied to your assumed events as
                seen without collapse in some world of the MWI.
                Otherwise, you just have a set of claims without
                any proof of their validity. AG


            You say Born's rule will do this or that, but you don't
            say exactly HOW it will do this or that. AG
            I only wrote "... the Born rule says..." and "... the
            Born rule predicts..."  If you don't understand how a
            mathematical formula can "say" or "predict" I can't help
            you.

            Brent


        To use Born's rule, you need a wf.
        Not if you already know the probability of |1> and |0> which
        values I just assumed.  Do you need me to take the square
        roots and write down the corresponding wave function,
        0.949|0> + 0.316|1>


    *So, IMO, we need a computer simulation which systematically
    tests a huge number of probabilities, and their wf's, to
    determine any difference between collapse and no-collapse
    interpretations. I suspect the latter will fail Born's rule in
    every case, falsifying the no-collapse interpretation. Also, one
    need to do this experiment in this-world only, since the worlds
    of the MWI are indistinguishable. AG *


*So you're not interested in possibly falsifying the MWI? Your attitude is puzzling. AG *

        What is the wf one gets from your h-t scenarios? That is,
        how do you calulate Born's rule in your scenario. Why is 
        this so hard to understand?
        For who?
        if we have two ways to do the calculation, with collapse and
        no-collapse in this-world, and we get different answers,
        then the MWI is falsified (assuming that Born's rule give
        the correct answer). We can share the prize. AG
        No because those aren't the only two possibilities.  In fact
        advocates of MWI also use the Born rule as a "weight" for the
        various worlds, but brushing under the rug the fact that this
        weight is just the probability of that world happening. They
        don't like that because they want all the worlds to happen,
        so they think of it as the probability that you experience
        that world...even though you experience all of them.


    *How can we experience all the worlds? We only experience one
    world, this world. AG *
    Why don't you ask somebody who believes in MWI, instead of me?


*Because you structured your scenario as if multiple worlds can make your measurements. But AFAICT, that's not what the true believers claim. Anyway, doing all measurements in one world, this world, seems sufficient to possibly falsify the interpretation. IMO, it needs to be falsified, so this false path to reality can finally be put in the dust bin of history. AG*
But it can't be falsified if you add the Born rule to it, which advocates of MWI do.  They just apply it to what they call "self-locating uncertainty", which I think is double-talk for "the only world that happened".

If you think it can be falsified, write out the experiment that will do so.

Brent

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