On 14 Jun 2014, at 03:49, LizR wrote:
On 13 June 2014 20:44, Pierz <pier...@gmail.com> wrote:
Yes. But I have to wonder what we're doing wrong, because any
sophisticated piece of modern software such as a modern OS or even
this humble mailing list/forum software we are using is already
"hugely mind-bogglingly incremental". It has evolved over decades of
incremental improvement involving thousands upon thousands of
workers building up layers of increasing abstraction from the
unfriendly silicon goings-on down below. And yet Siri, far from
being a virtual Scarlett Johannson, is still pretty much dumb as dog-
shit (though she has some neat bits of crystallised intelligence
built in. Inspired by "She" I asked her what she was wearing, and
she said, "I can't tell you but it doesn't come off."). Well, I'm
still agnostic on "comp", so I don't have to decide whether this
conspicuous failure represents evidence against computationalism. I
do however consider the bullish predictions of the likes of Deutsch
(and even our own dear Bruno) that we shall be uploading our brains
or something by the end of the century or sooner to be deluded.
Deutsch wrote once (BoI?) that the computational power required for
human intelligence is already present in a modern laptop; we just
haven't had the programming breakthrough yet. I think that is
preposterous and can hardly credit he actually believes it.
This looks like a more realistic estimate...
http://www.extremetech.com/extreme/163051-simulating-1-second-of-human-brain-activity-takes-82944-processors
Making abstraction of the glial cells, and with some high neuronal
description level.
We might survive with such artificial brain, but we might get problem
after month or years.
Bruno
PD I have to go. More comment tomorrow probably.
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