Same here, just one box. The paradox hinges on clairvoyance and how we
could expect that to be sensible in the universe we live in. To my way of
thinking, clairvoyance entails a sort of backwards-causation which I think
can be made sensible in a multiverse. To wit, you make your choice (one
box, say), and that "collapses" the possible universes you are in to the
one in which the clairvoyant predicted you would choose one box, and so you
get the money.

In other words, the justification for choosing both boxes - that the
contents of the boxes have already been determined - fails to provide an
account of clairvoyance that can be made sensible. Or rather, I just can't
think of one.

Terren

On Wed, Dec 10, 2014 at 5:13 AM, Bruno Marchal <[email protected]> wrote:

>
> On 10 Dec 2014, at 09:55, Jason Resch wrote:
>
> I started quite a lively debate at work recently by bringing up Newcomb's
> Paradox. We debated topics ranging from the prisoner's dilemma to the
> halting problem, from free will to retro causality, from first person
> indeterminacy to Godel's incompleteness.
>
> My colleagues were about evenly split between one-boxing and two-boxing,
> and I was curious if there would be any more consensus among the members of
> this list. If you're unfamiliar with the problem there are descriptions
> here:
>
> http://www.philosophyexperiments.com/newcomb/
> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Newcomb%27s_paradox
>
> If you reach a decision, please reply with whether your strategy would be
> to take one box or two, what assumptions you make, and why you think your
> strategy is best. I don't want to bias the results so I'll provide my
> answer in a follow-up post.
>
>
> I take only one box. Non randomly! I use my free-will ...
> To be sure and make thing simpler, I assume the predictor is 100% accurate.
>
> Bruno
>
>
>
>
> Jason
>
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> http://iridia.ulb.ac.be/~marchal/
>
>
>
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