Russell Standish wrote:

>
> *>There is also the possibility of wholesale ecosystem collapse, notjust
> some birds. Do you know that these mosquitos _aren't_ a keystonespecies?*


I don't know anything for certain about the environment and never will but
I have a strong hunch the  40 mosquito species that carry malaria going
extinct and leaving just 3460 mosquito species around would not be the
equivalent to the Chicxulub Event that occured 66 million years ago.
However I do know for certain that for 725,000 people each and every year
NOT using Gene Drive WILL be the equivalent to the Chicxulub Event .


>
> *> I'm not saying they are, but until ecological studies are done, we
> don't know.*


Such ecological studies will never ever be done, there will always be one
more study that needs to be completed before we can make a decision.
Always. Meanwhile as we do nothing 725,000 people die each and every year.


> *I don't think you have considered _all_ the facts*
>

Well of course I haven't! In the physical world decisions are never based
on perfect information so we must use judgement. It is my judgement that
725,000 human deaths per year is a greater evil than 40 out of 3500
mosquito species going extinct.  What is your judgement?

 >>There will never be a day when the ESP fans will say " I'm seen enough
>> well conducted studies with negative results to convince me that ESP is not
>> worth pursuing further and we should move on to studying something new with
>> more potential to find something interesting". Environmentalists and ESP
>> fans will ALWAYS demand just one more study before moving on.
>
>
>
> * >By ESP - do you mean extrasensory perception and similar psychic woo?*


Yes. And flying saucer men in Roswell New Mexico.


> >
> *The decision properly should be taken by regulatory agencies, preferably
> an international one under (say) the auspices of the UN*


The most important thing for an employee of one of those regulatory
agencies is to cover your ass, and for reasons I don't understand people
will blame them for making a decision that results in one person getting
sick but they will not blame them for killing 725,000 people a year by not
acting. So if you're a bureaucrat the wisest thing to do is ask for yet
another study and do nothing.

Actually I'm underestimating the political and bureaucratic inertia of
regulatory agencies.  There is not a single well documented case of
genetically modified food even making somebody sick much less killing then,
and yet millions, perhaps billions, of people have the superstition that id
something has been genetically modified then it must be satanic.

Rice is the staple food for half of the human race but unfortunately it
contains no vitamin A and that deficiency causes 670,000 people to die
every year and made half a million children go blind every year. However
there is a strain of rice that does contain vitamin A called "Golden Rice"
that was developed more than a decade ago but regulatory agencies are
dragging their feet on allowing it because it was made with genetic
engineering.

Just a few months ago it was finally approved in the USA but it isn't
needed there, is still banned in the places where it's needed most, a small
experimental plot of Golden Rice in the Philippines was destroyed by
protestors 5 years ago and Bangladesh is still thinking about it.
Meanwhile 670,000
people die every year and made half a million children go blind.

>
> *Of course there is no such thing as a zero risk decision, but all we ask
> is that the decision is taken on the best scientific knowledge,*


For decades the best scientific knowledge has been that eating genetically
modified food is not risky but NOT eating genetically modified food is very
risky indeed. And yet we do nothing and people continue to die. And now it
looks like the same thing is going to happen with Gene Drive.

>
>
> *Of course, everyone has an input into the makeup of the regulatory
> agencies, including the likes of Greenpeace, and Donald Trump.*


That's the problem, those with the loudest voice have the most influence
regardless of how stupid they are. Greenpeace claims to be super moral but
they oppose all forms of genetic engineering despite the millions of deaths
that opposition has caused, and Donald Trump in his ignorance has
shamefully advanced the fiction that vaccinations cause autism.  And I
can't think of anything that has reduced the net amount of human misery
more than vaccination.

John K Clark

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