On 11/7/2019 4:35 PM, Philip Thrift wrote:
On Thursday, November 7, 2019 at 6:16:45 PM UTC-6, Brent wrote: On 11/7/2019 3:23 PM, Philip Thrift wrote:I've always been a propensitist [ https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/probability-interpret/#ProInt <https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/probability-interpret/#ProInt> ].Fine. But my point is that to connect beliefs, predictions, mathematical theory, observations,...you need to be able to transfer one meaning of probability to another. Brent I really don't see why.(When the weatherman says there's a 17% probability of rain tomorrow, I don't translate - nor do I think many viewers out there translate - anything at all!)
Of course you can ignore anything you hear. But if you're going to make use of the information you will translate into something related to a decision, i.e. what's your expect loss due to getting we tomorrow? Should you cancel the department picnic?
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