On 10/20/2020 5:39 AM, Bruno Marchal wrote:

On 15 Oct 2020, at 20:56, 'Brent Meeker' via Everything List <[email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:

You should have read Vic Stenger's "The Fallacy of Fine Tuning".  Vic points out how many examples of  fine tuning are mis-conceived...including Hoyle's prediction of an excited state of carbon.  Vic also points out the fallacy of just considering one parameter when the parameter space is high dimensional.

But my general criticism of fine-tuning is two-fold. First, the concept is not well defined.  There is no apriori probability distribution over possible values.  If the possible values are infinite, then any realized value is improbable.


I don’t think so. That is why Kolmogorov defines a measure space by forbidding infinite intersection of events. In the finite case the space of events is the complete boolean structure coming from the subset of the set of the possible results. In the infinite domain, the measure space os defined by a strict subset. I miss perhaps something, but the axiomatic of Kolmogorov has been invented to solve that “infinite number of value” problem.

That's a non-answer.  I was just using infinite (as physicists do) to mean bigger than anything we're thinking of.  Kolmogorov just shaped his definition to make the mathematics simpler.  There's nothing in Jason's analyses that defines the variables as finite. Jason just helps jimself to an intuition that a value between 7.5 and 7.7 is "fine-tuned".  He didn't first justify the finite interval.


But I do agree that fine-tuning is not always well defined and sometimes misused. Yet I agree that the choice is between a fine tuner (but who is it, and how does it the selection. Even if real, a fine tuner explains nothing without some explanation of where the fine tuner comes from. In a multiverse or milti-computations (le the sigma_1 arithmetic) consciousness is the fine tuner, and that one is explained already by the (Löbianà universal machine.





Fine tuning is all in the intuition.  Charts are drawn showing little "we are here" zones to prove the fine tuning.  But the scales are sometimes linear, sometimes logarithmic.  And why those parameters and not the square?...or the square root?  Bayesian inference is not invariant under change of parameters.

That depends on your OMEGA in the probability space, and the measure you put on the set of events.

Exactly so.





Second, calling it "fine-tuning" implies some kind of process of "tuning" or "selection".  But that's gratuitous.

Yes. Ad Hoc, and it hides the problem by a bigger problem,  instead of solving it.



Absent supernatural miracles, we must find ourselves in a universe in which we are nomologically possible.

That will be the relative histories with measure near one. Sort of history-neighbourhoods.

By what measure?




  And that is true whether there is one universe or infinitely many.

… or none.


  So it cannot be evidence one way or the other for the number of universes.

To count the universes, we should be able to be clearer on what such term means.

Bruno





Brent

On 10/14/2020 7:38 PM, Jason Resch wrote:
I just finished an article on all the science behind fine-tuning, and how the evidence suggests an infinite, and possibly complete reality. I thought others on this list might appreciate it:
https://alwaysasking.com/was-the-universe-made-for-life/

I welcome any discussion, feedback, or corrections.

Jason
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