On Sat, Oct 24, 2020 at 11:56 PM <[email protected]> wrote:

> *I have no idea of Peach except this was democrat maxine Waters favorite
> claim after The Donald's ascension to office (angelic chori). "Peach 45!"
> was the congresswoman's cry,*
>

And I have no idea, not the slightest hint, of what the hell you're talking
about!  I am not fluent in Spudtalk and Google translate has not gotten
around to that language yet, so please use English.


> * > if it looks like Big Don clearly wins (we both know it will go
> recount, then to the Supe court),then will you acknowledge that he won? *
>

If Trump clearly wins then I will have no alternative but to say that Trump
clearly won, but Nate Silver, who was less wrong in 2016 than just about
anybody else, says there is less than a 1% chance that Trump will win in a
landslide, but a 31% chance that Biden will win in a landslide.  Overall
Silver says Trump has a 13% chance of winning the election, and that number
is way way too large for me to feel comfortable. Silver doesn't give the
odds that Trump will lose the election but remain in power after January
20, 2021, personally I would put that number at about 20%.

> *(we both know it will go recount, *


No, I don't know that a recount is inevitable, historically very few
presidential elections have needed recounts. Silver says that in 2020 the
chances of the outcome of the election hinging on a recount is only 5%.

*> then to the Supe court) ,then will you acknowledge that he won? *


Normally I would say if there was a dispute between the election of
candidate X and Y and the Supreme Court said X had won then I would say X
had won, however things are NOT normal. The US Senate is going to rubber
stamp Trump's nominee to go on the Supreme Court tomorrow just eight days
before election day after 55 million Americans have already voted for the
next president, and after hypocritical Republicans refused to even consider
Merrick Garland because Obama nominated him nine months before Election day
and they said that was too soon. And Trump publicly admitted that he was
rushing this nomination through with unprecedented speed because he thought
the election decision might need to go to the Supreme Court and he wanted
another one of his pet judges on it. And during the confirmation hearings
Judge Amy Coney Barrett refused to recuse herself on matters concerning the
election that is eight days away that may decide the future of the
president who nominated her.

John K Clark

>
>

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