I think for programmers to lose their jobs to AIs, AIs will need to grasp the problem domain, and I'm suggesting that's far too advanced for today's AI, and I think it's a long way off, because the problem domain for programmers entails knowing a lot about how humans behave, what they're good at, and bad at, what they value, and so on, not to mention the domain-specific knowledge that is necessary to understand the problem in the first place.
On Thu, Feb 3, 2022 at 8:23 PM Brent Meeker <[email protected]> wrote: > So AI's won't need to "grasp the problem domain" to be effective. Which > may well be true. What we call "grasping the problem" domain is being able > to tell simple stories about it that other people can grasp and understand, > say by reading a book. An AI may "grasp the problem" in some much more > comprehensive way that is too much for a human to comprehend and the human > will say the AI is just calculating and doesn't understand the problem > because it can't explain it to humans. > > That's sort of what we do when we write simulations of complex things. > They are too complex for us to see what will happen and so we use the > computer to tell us what will happen. The computer can't "explain the > result" to us and we can't grasp the whole domain of the computation, but > we can grasp the result. > > Brent > > On 2/3/2022 4:29 PM, Terren Suydam wrote: > > > Being able to grasp the problem domain is not the same thing as being > effective in it. > > On Thu, Feb 3, 2022 at 6:07 PM Brent Meeker <[email protected]> wrote: > >> >> I think "able to grasp the problem domain we're talking about" is giving >> us way to much credit. Every study of stock traders I've seen says that >> they do no better than some simple rules of thumb like index funds. >> >> Brent >> >> > -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Everything List" group. To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to [email protected]. To view this discussion on the web visit https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/everything-list/CAMy3ZA8cnqP1U4thdUQWv_AZk-zbOcrqk1u%3DeRzqzmvAHOFJMQ%40mail.gmail.com.
