On Fri, Feb 04, 2022 at 10:59:44AM -0800, Brent Meeker wrote: > Well consider the example of climate. Nobody can grasp all factors > in climate and their interactions. But we can model all of them in > a global climate simulation.
Actually, as far as I can tell, we cannot. Or, you mean, theoretically, sure, but in practice, I would say no, such model had not been made yet. If such model existed, it would give an answer about how/why the last glaciation started and how/why it ended. But I understand such answers were not given yet. Only speculations. So, seems to me, whatever model we have, it cannot predict past events. I would not bet any money on anything such model says about other things. > So climatologists+simulations "grasp the domain" even though humans > can't. Who are "climatologists"? > Now suppose we want to extend these predictive climate models to > include predictions about what humans will do in response. We don't > know how humans will behave except in some general statistical > terms. And yet I can give you some good prediction. We use to do as small as possible, for as long as possible. I predict this is not going to change anytime soon. And not later either. -- Regards, Tomasz Rola -- ** A C programmer asked whether computer had Buddha's nature. ** ** As the answer, master did "rm -rif" on the programmer's home ** ** directory. And then the C programmer became enlightened... ** ** ** ** Tomasz Rola mailto:[email protected] ** -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Everything List" group. To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to [email protected]. To view this discussion on the web visit https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/everything-list/20220205001420.GA27521%40tau1.ceti.pl.
