Good to hear from you Jason, long time, no hear. I always enjoyed your articles 
and liked how you were able to apply physics to philosophy, in a helpful way. 
Please continuing article-making and rock-on! 
Spud


-----Original Message-----
From: Jason Resch <jasonre...@gmail.com>
To: Everything List <everything-list@googlegroups.com>
Sent: Mon, Feb 28, 2022 8:48 am
Subject: Re: The Nature of Contingency: Quantum Physics as Modal Realism



On Sun, Feb 27, 2022, 11:43 AM Tomas Pales <litewav...@gmail.com> wrote:

On Thursday, February 24, 2022 at 4:45:11 AM UTC+1 meeke...@gmail.com wrote:

  This should be of interest to all the everythingists on this list.  I'd 
especially like to hear what Bruno thinks of it.  It's a bit expensive, so I 
may wait for more reviews before I take it up.
 
 Birmingham-based philosopher Alastair Wilson has taken up the Herculean task 
of putting modal realism and many-worlds quantum theory together into a 
coherent, unitary view of reality. The results of this effort have been 
presented in several papers in recent years, and are now assembled in this 
thought-provoking book. While, as we will see, questions remain, Wilson has no 
doubt managed to come up with ingenious new hypotheses and has proposed 
solutions to existing problems and, more generally, with a powerful new modal 
realist view. The resulting perspective will certainly be of interest in the 
coming years, especially for naturalistically inclined philosophers, demanding 
that metaphysical hypotheses be made as continuous with our best science as 
possible.
 
https://ndpr.nd.edu/reviews/the-nature-of-contingency-quantum-physics-as-modal-realism/
 
 From the review I take it that Wilson has missed the intermediate kind of 
possibility, namely computability which is between logical possibility and 
nomological possibility.
 
 Brent


I am not sure what is new here. Many-worlds interpretation of QM is obviously 
an example of Lewis' modal realism in the context of QM. As was discussed here 
some time ago, it may not even involve splitting of worlds. That is, all the 
quantum parallel worlds may be distinct worlds (objects) even before a 
measurement; they are just exactly the same before the measurement (exact 
copies of each other) and they start to differ at the measurement event. A 
regularity in the multiverse of these quantum worlds manifests in the fact that 
the worlds start differing in proportions given by the Born rule, based on the 
(same) state of the worlds at the moment of measurement. 

More generally about possible worlds or objects, I still see no difference 
between a world that is logically possible (consistent) and a world that 
"exists". A logically possible world is a world that is identical to itself, 
that is, it has the properties it has and does not have the properties it does 
not have. If two worlds have all the same properties except the property of 
existence (one exists and the other doesn't) what does it even mean? So I see 
no alternative to modal realism.

If we want to go into more details we may ask what properties a world or object 
may have and based on that we may differentiate between different kinds of 
worlds or objects, for example spatiotemporal worlds versus worlds that don't 
have a temporal or spatial structure.

There has been some work in this question which I cover some of here:
https://alwaysasking.com/why-does-anything-exist/#Why_Time
Also, there are also arguably anthropic reasons for our 3+1 spacetime:
https://alwaysasking.com/is-the-universe-fine-tuned/#Infinitely_Intelligent_Babies_and_Spacetime_Dimensionality


 An important kind of property is relations between objects (relational 
properties), and the most general kind of relation is similarity, which holds 
between any two objects and thus is a necessary kind of relation. It just means 
that two objects have certain common properties and certain different 
properties. Mathematics as the most general study of relations explores the 
similarity relation as morphism in category theory and has reduced it to the 
set membership relation in set theory. Set theory is interesting to me in that 
it grounds mathematics in concrete worlds made of collections (sets), as 
opposed to abstract relations like numbers, functions, symmetries etc.
But if all mathematically (structurally) and consistently characterized 
worlds/objects exist, it seems surprising that we live in a world with quite 
stable laws of physics that persist in time (along the time dimension of 
spacetime).

Even in an everything ensemble, observers should expect to find stable, simple, 
probabilistic laws:
https://alwaysasking.com/why-does-anything-exist/#Why_Laws



 Since reality is a mess of everything possible we might expect that the 
regularities (laws) of our world may change or disappear any second, which 
apparently doesn't happen.

Or you don't remember it happening:
"When we die, the rules surely change. As our brains and bodies cease to 
function in the normal way, it takes greater and greater contrivances and 
coincidences to explain continuing consciousness by their operation. We lose 
our ties to physical reality, but, in the space of all possible worlds, that 
cannot be the end. Our consciousness continues to exist in some of those, and 
we will always find ourselves in worlds where we exist and never in ones where 
we don’t. The nature of the next simplest world that can host us, after we 
abandon physical law, I cannot guess."
-- Hans Moravec in “Simulation, Consciousness, Existence” 
(1998)https://frc.ri.cmu.edu/~hpm/project.archive/general.articles/1998/SimConEx.98.html


 Hume put it as "the constant conjunction between causes and effects."The fact 
that the laws of physics in our world have been stable for billions of years 
may be explained by the anthropic principle: we could have evolved only in a 
world with such a long term stability. But it may not be obvious why such a 
stability would continue into the future. In fact, it may seem that such a 
stability in the future is very unlikely because there are many ways our world 
could be in the future but only one way in which it would be a deterministic 
extension of the world it has been until now. Maybe the future stability can be 
explained by Solomonoff induction, which seems to imply the opposite: it is 
more likely that laws of physics will continue to hold. Why? Because given the 
way our world has been until now, this world is more simple if its regularities 
(such as laws of physics) continue than if they are discontinued, and more 
simple worlds are more likely (more frequent in the collection of all possible 
worlds) than more complex worlds. (A simpler set of properties is instantiated 
in more possible worlds than a more complex set of properties.) Such a 
deterministic world is fully defined by some initial conditions and laws of 
physics, while a world whose regularity is discontinued at some point would 
need an additional property that would define the discontinuation and thereby 
make the world more complex. Solomonoff induction deals only with computable 
sequences, I don't know if it can be generalized to uncomputable sequences. If 
it can't, it may indicate that conscious beings of our kind can only exist in a 
world with such a computable feature (or else we would likely see the stability 
of laws of physics disappear any second from now). I don't understand the 
mathematical details of Solomonoff induction and it seems to be a rather 
unfamiliar explanation for why we should expect the laws of physics to remain 
stable.https://arbital.com/p/solomonoff_induction/


Yes this is the basis of Markus Mueller's work, deriving physical law from 
algorithmic information theory, which is based on Smolonoff induction.
As Saibal Mitra (on this list) said:
"To derive the effective laws of physics, one needs to do statistics over the 
ensemble of identical observers. This involves performing summations over the 
multiverse, but these summations are with a constraint that says that some 
given observer is present."-- Saibal Mitra in discussion list (2018)

This of course means the laws are only approximately stable, and from the 
perspective of any observer may change, or be invented on the fly (e.g. when 
discovering ever less significant digits of some fundamental constant).
It also means any theory bridging ultimate reality and physics needs some 
theory of observation (consciousness). Physics after all, is the science of 
observation: predicting future observations given past ones.
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