Sorry, but some of the recent "conservative" posts concerning the 
war in Iraq reminded me that there are still many people around who 
hold world views that are in my opinion obstacles to world peace so 
I am posting a talk given by Joseph Cirincione in 2003 that is just 
as relevant today as it was then.


Speech at American University 
Washington, DC
March 23, 2003

I love America. 

Italy is a beautiful country, but I'm glad my grandparents came here 
100 years ago. I truly believe America is one of the best countries 
the world has every known. That is why it is so tragic what the 
policies of this administration have done to the image and 
reputation of United States of America.

Seventeen months ago, there were demonstrations around the world in 
support of the United States in the wake of September 11. Thousands 
of people gathered in hundreds of cities to express their support 
for the US. There were one million people in the streets of Tehran -–
 in favor of the US. It is appalling how quickly this administration 
has squandered this support and sympathy for the United States. 

You heard previous speakers quote famous authors, such as Thoreau. I 
would like to quote The Matrix. One of my favorite scenes in the 
movie, is when Morpheus, played by Laurence Fishburne, is trying to 
teach Neo, played by Keanu Reeves, not just how to fight Kung-fu, 
but how to understand that the reality that he sees, feels and 
touches, is a false reality. It is a computer-generated virtual 
reality. Morpheus gives Neo a kick that sends him flying, and he 
wins their first match. He goes over to Neo and asks, "How did I 
beat you?" Neo replies, "You were faster than me," "Really?" says 
Morpheus, "Do you think my muscles had anything to with my speed, 
here, in this world? Do you think that's air that you're breathing?" 
Keanu Reeves starts to get it. He gives that puzzled look -– the 
only look he really has -– and he starts to understand that the 
reality he knows is not true. 

I am not saying that the people in the White House are evil machines 
out to take over the world. However, they have constructed a false 
reality for us, a reality that we have bought into. Maybe not the 
people in this room, but we as a country. It is a reality where war 
equals peace. Invasion equals liberation. Military rule equals 
democracy. And Saddam Hussein equals Osama bin Laden. 

Half the people in this country think that Hussein was directly 
responsible for September 11. There is not a shred of evidence that 
that is true. But it was a critical part of the campaign to convince 
us that it was urgent to take action. They had to convince America 
that Saddam was a terrorist, that Saddam has operational links to al 
Qaeda. No serious intelligence analyst believes that to be the case, 
but the President has repeated it over and over. Like "Drink Coca-
Cola." Iraq equals al Qaeda. Until now half of the American public 
believe it to be true. We're thirsty -– we reach for a Coke. We want 
to strike back at al Qaeda, so we strike Iraq. This is a false 
reality. But only a part of the false reality. 

You have heard a great deal of talk of weapons of mass destruction. 
What you may not realize is that this administration has now 
overturned fifty years of American policy and strategy on weapons of 
mass destruction. For fifty years the policy has been to eliminate 
the nuclear, chemical and biological weapons. The belief has been 
that as long has these weapons exist, someone is going to use them. 
This is why President Kennedy warned in 1960 that if we did not do 
something, 15, 20 or 25 countries would have nuclear weapons by the 
end of that decade. But Kennedy did something. He started 
negotiating a treaty -– the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty. He 
couldn't finish the job, Lyndon Johnson did and Richard Nixon signed 
the treaty. Democrats and Republicans working together, side by 
side, with a bi-partisan consensus to eliminated these weapons. 

That treaty has worked. There are still too many weapons; there are 
still too many countries, but instead of 15 or 25 countries, now we 
have eight. There are fewer nuclear weapons in the world now than 
there were ten years ago. There are fewer countries with WMD 
programs than there were ten years ago. We are making progress. This 
is also why Richard Nixon in 1969, unilateral destroyed all of our 
biological weapons. We had the best biological weapons in the world. 
We had enough toxins to kill every man, woman and child and most 
food crops in the world. Nixon decided that this was not in our best 
national security interest. He negotiated the Biological Weapons 
Convention -– which most countries in the world have now signed -– 
to ban these evil weapons. So that no one would have them, no way, 
no time, no how. 

George H. W. Bush agreed. In 1991 he adopted the strategy that 
weapons had to be eliminated. He negotiated the Chemical Weapons 
Convention. When I was in the House of Representatives and working 
on the staff of the Armed Services Committee, we had debates on the 
late 1980s on an Army plan to build a new chemical weapon -– a 
binary bomb. It would combine two chemicals in flight, forming a 
poison gas that would kill enemy troops. We had to have it, the Army 
said. Soldiers would die, if we did not deploy it. It was vital to 
US national security. But by 1991, George Bush was saying no one 
should have chemical weapons. We have now begun to destroy our 
30,000 tons of chemical weapons. The Russians are destroying their 
40,000 tons of chemical weapons. Over 145 countries have signed this 
treaty, which states that no one should have chemical weapons, 
nowhere, no how, no time. These are evil weapons and have no place 
in our world.

That was the strategy: focus on the proliferation of mass 
destruction weapons. President George Bush has now changed our 
strategy. In his recent State of the Union Address he amended the 
formula. Now, the danger is weapons of mass destruction in the hands 
of outlaw regimes. We have shifted from eliminating weapons to 
eliminating regimes. It is a strategy of picking and choosing. It's 
okay that Israel has 100 nuclear weapons -– it's not okay that Iraq 
has nuclear weapons. Its okay that India has nuclear weapons -– it's 
not okay that North Korea has nuclear weapons. Its okay that we have 
nuclear weapons -– it's not okay that Iran does. It's a strategy of 
good guys and bad guys, a double standard. 

This is a deeply flawed policy; it cannot be sustained. One reason 
is that the good guys and bad guys keep changing. Saddam Hussein is 
a monster. Did you hear anyone here support him? Do we have any 
appeasers here in this room? Did you hear anyone say that Saddam 
should stay in power? The world will be far better off when Saddam 
is gone, when his brutal regime passes into history. We all want to 
see him go. 

He's been a monster for 30 years. The reason he stayed in power for 
so long is because he used to be our monster. We put the Baathist 
Party in power. The CIA supported the coup that overthrew the pro-
Soviet ruler of Iraq, General Abdel Karim Kassem, and brought the 
Baathists to power in 1963. Our CIA operatives liked the cut of 
Saddam's jib. We encouraged his rise when he became vice-president. 
When he took over as president in 1979, we didn't say a word when he 
liquidated the core of his own party's leadership. We sold him the 
chemicals that he used to build his chemical weapons. We sold him 
the biological agents that he used to build his biological weapons. 

Did he build them? Absolutely. Was it a crime against humanity? 
Absolutely. Was it a crime that he killed 50,000 Iranians with 
chemical attacks in the Iran-Iraq War? Yes. Did the Reagan 
Administration do anything to stop it? No, we did not. We wanted to 
kill Iranians, and Saddam was doing just that. We sent Donald 
Rumsfeld to seal the deal in 1983 and again in 1984 during Iraq's 
chemical attacks on Iranian troops, to restore relations with 
Saddam's regime and make sure that Saddam and the US were in close 
coordination on policy. Did those good relations help us stop him 
when he gassed 10,000 Kurds in Halabja in 1988? They did not. We did 
not even try. We had sold him the helicopters he used to spray the 
poison gas.

We kept him in power. Now he has changed, now he's evil and has to 
go. I believe he has to go. But that is the problem with the good 
guy/bad guy strategy. Now, we want democracy in Iran. Iran use to 
have a democracy -– we over threw it in 1954. We put the Shah of 
Iran in power. We supported that evil dictatorship and kept him in 
power. We sold the Shah his first nuclear reactor. When the people 
in Iran did then what some say they should do now, when they rose up 
and overthrew the dictatorship, we did not like the results and we 
have been campaigning against the new Iranian government ever since. 
Is it an undemocratic government? Yes. Would I like to see us invade 
Iran next? No. Yet some people in this administration are in favor 
of invading Iran. That is the next country on their "To Do" list. 

The reason there is no exit strategy for Iraq is because some of 
these guys do not want to leave. Remember the Powell Doctrine? One, 
use overwhelming force -– we may have that. Two, clear political 
objectives -– sorry, do not see that. Three, support of the American 
people -– well, today, maybe, but it has been up and down all year. 
Fourth and finally, there is no exit strategy. You heard Bobby 
Mueller talk about this. You need to understand that Iraq is a part 
of a grander strategy. This is not about WMD. It's not about 
terrorism. It's about seeing that the US -– the most powerful nation 
that the world has every known -– uses its power to transform the 
world. 

Some people are advocating this with noble intentions. They want to 
do good in the world, but they want to do it through the use of 
military power. They want to start with Iraq, and then they believe 
that Iraq will let off a "democratic tsunami" in the region. They 
believe that with US help we can topple the government of Syria, 
breaking the Syrian grip on Lebanon, eliminating the operating bases 
for Hamas and Hezbollah, and thus improving the security situation 
for Israel. In this process we will transform the Palestinian 
Authority into a democratic organization, giving the Israelis a 
reliable negotiation partner for a final peace settlement. The 
reason this president has not spent more than two hours on Middle 
East peace is that for him the road to Jerusalem goes through 
Baghdad. We will also deal with our problem in Saudi Arabia by 
moving the bases from Saudi Arabia to Iraq. We will establish a pro-
American regime that can host our troops and consolidate a permanent 
American presence in the Gulf. 

You think that I am making this up? 

Go read the 2002 National Security Strategy for the United States, 
which holds that our defense "will require bases and stations within 
and beyond Western Europe and Northeast Asia." Or come to Carnegie 
Non Proliferation web site (www.ProliferationNews.org). You can find 
on our site all the documents arguing for this strategy going back 
ten years. Read the 2000 report from the neo-conservative Project 
for the New American Century signed by many current administration 
officials. The report says, "The U.S. has for decades sought to play 
a more permanent role in the Gulf regional security. While the 
unresolved conflict with Iraq provides the immediate justification, 
the need for a substantial American force presence in the Gulf 
transcends the issue of the regime of Saddam Hussein." 

When did the planning of this war begin? It began the day President 
Bush stopped the 1991 war. There were some people in that 
Administration that never wanted to stop. Paul Wolfowitz sat in the 
corner in a huff, according to reporters. He never wanted to stop 
the war. Neo-conservatives thought that we had not finished the job; 
they wanted us to begin the war again. So they planned and 
organized. They started with the Wolfowitz draft Defense Policy 
Guidelines in 1992. There, he talked about establishing the 
permanent supremacy of US power in the world. No one should be 
allowed to challenge our power, he wrote. Not regionally, not 
globally. He advocated adopting a policy of pre-emption. He wrote of 
being prepared for a war with Iraq -- in 1992. When that plan was 
leaked to the New York Times, (thank god for leakers) it was 
considered so outrageous, so extreme, they were forced to withdraw 
the draft and rewrite it. "Pre-emption" was replaced 
with "containment." 

They thought they would get another try with the strategy plans next 
year, but the American people voted them out of power. Some guy from 
Arkansas became president, and they were furious. They spent their 
years in exile well. They learned, studied and organized, and now as 
a group they have entered the government and have key positions in 
the State Department and in the Defense Department, and now have a 
hammerlock on the national security policy apparatus of the US. For 
them, Iraq is just the beginning. As one of the official said to 
me "we have a long 'to do' list." 

We have failed to stop this war. It is an unnecessary war. 
Inspections could have worked; they could have done the job. It was 
not necessary to go to war at this time, in this place with a 
Potemkin coalition with no international organization behind us. But 
that does not mean we have failed. This battle is just beginning. 

If you're a student, this is a wonderful time to be a student. 
Before you the most important political experiment of our time is 
being conducted. Study it, learn from it, organize around it. 

And make sure that this never happens again.








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