--- In [email protected], "markmeredith2002" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > > > > For example: Quote: > > > > "Hagelin's study used time series analysis to rule out a long > > list > > > of > > > > alternative explanations, including weather variables, seasonal > > > > effects, changes in police surveillance, and trends and cyclical > > > > patterns inherent in the crime data." > > > > http://istpp.org/crime_prevention/voodoo_rebuttal.html > > > > > > > > OffWorld. > > > > > > > > > > Assuming that this is the case, that still doesn't rule out some > > > OTHER factor that wasn't considered, like I said...>>> > > > > Yes it does. This is how statistical analysis works. It minimizes > > the probability that it is due to some other factor, than the one > > being observed. > > The raw data in the DC study did not show any statistical validity, so > Hagelin adjusted the data by a "heat factor" arguing that the weather > was hotter than avg and thus the crime rate should have been higher > than avg. >>>>
Because it was well established that heat increases the crime rate, every time. However, you are right, the effect was not strong enough to be a good example of proof of it. <<<This is how he got his statistical proof. And this is why > studies conducted by people with an obvious bias >>> As most are. You are naive if you think otherwise. The research grant system ensures that a researcher is under pressure to prove their pet theory. <<<When professors at the > U of Iowa attempted to do, MUM refused to cooperate with them.>>> When was this? Where did you hear this? ------------------------ Yahoo! Groups Sponsor --------------------~--> Get fast access to your favorite Yahoo! Groups. Make Yahoo! your home page http://us.click.yahoo.com/dpRU5A/wUILAA/yQLSAA/JjtolB/TM --------------------------------------------------------------------~-> To subscribe, send a message to: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Or go to: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/FairfieldLife/ and click 'Join This Group!' Yahoo! Groups Links <*> To visit your group on the web, go to: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/FairfieldLife/ <*> To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to: [EMAIL PROTECTED] <*> Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to: http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/
