--- In [email protected], "sparaig" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: >
> Even if the trend is positive in the long run, regression to the mean predicts you're not going > to be able to see a long-term trend until the long-term actually happens. Actually, proper use of good statistical methods can sort out if the effect is "random" or statistically significant, correlative or causal. And even eyeballing trends can discount or disprove the theory. Thats why I began graphing the effects on stocks, oil, dollar and gold in a blog when the course began (though I need to update it). Things going widely in the wrong direction would tend to discount the theory. As gold, oil and the dollar did for the first few months. Now they have all turned toards "socially positive" directions. And "when" the effect occurs is not clear from ME theory or the data. The utopia course (I think it was that one) coincided with the largest stock market crash since 29. Yet, it also, it preceeded one of the largest decade long runups in history. Other courses show a similar pattern. I hypothesized a "surgery/recovery/robust health" pattern or "Detox, healing, robust health" analogies might apply. This new course is different in that it is smaller numbers -- sustained, and hopefully growing over time. Not a three week intense intervention like Utopia. So the effects may be smoother. http://groups.yahoo.com/group/FairfieldLife/message/117325 "Data of both stocks and flows of blisstrons would greatly facilitate a test of the ME. For those familiar with the statistical methods of regression analysis -- the backbone of much/most research studies, a variety of models could be specified -- the dependnet variable in each being crime, stock market, GNP, health index etc and the independent variables would be control variables (other things that may effect the dependent variable, and the stock and flow of Blisstrons over time. Perhaps also testing some decay factor for the stock of (cumulative) Blisstrons. The beauty is that these blisstron variables will vary over time -- a critical necessity for a good regression test. The past ME studies were mostly one impact tests. In a regression framework, the independent varible of interest -- TM/siddhas-- did not vary over time. And past studies only looked at the "flow" not the cumulative "stock" of ME-atrons / Blisstrons." To subscribe, send a message to: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Or go to: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/FairfieldLife/ and click 'Join This Group!' Yahoo! Groups Links <*> To visit your group on the web, go to: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/FairfieldLife/ <*> Your email settings: Individual Email | Traditional <*> To change settings online go to: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/FairfieldLife/join (Yahoo! ID required) <*> To change settings via email: mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] <*> To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to: [EMAIL PROTECTED] <*> Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to: http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/
