Guy Smith <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> writes:

> Tim reported:
>
> > http://timlambert.org/2003/08#0818
> > A study by Kovandzic and Marvell has been published in July issue of
> > Criminology and Public Policy. (A draft of their paper is here.) From
> > the journal's news release about their findings:
> >
> >     In the recently published study "Right-to-Carry Concealed
> >     Handguns: Crime Control through Gun Decontrol?," Kovandzic and
> >     Marvell examine what, if any, impact Florida's right-to-carry law
> >     has had on its rate of violent crime.
>
> <snip>
>
> >     First, they point out that
> >     few people have taken advantage of the concealed carry law?
> >     "despite millions of Floridians being eligible for permits... 12
> >     years after the [RTC] law was in effect, there were only 248,O49
> >     valid concealed weapons permits in Florida, representing 2.1% of
> >     the Florida adult population."
>
> Ever wonder why so few people play Russian Roulette?  Cost/benefit.  Though
> the chance of ending your own life is only 1-in-6, the cost is so high few
> people are willing to risk it.  Criminals, as thick as they may be, operate
> on the same informal analysis.  Sure, only 2.1% of the population carries .
> . . but when I mug someone at the ATM, will they be in that 2.1%?  Not worth
> the gamble.

If criminals were so concerned about the tiny chance of encountering a
gun carrier then they would already have been deterred by the far
larger chance of being arrested and convicted for their crime.


--
Tim

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