Colleagues, ---quote from Doug Roberts At some point in time it will be possible to divide all the the bodies in the world by all the food in the world, and discover that there is not enough to go around, political boundaries notwithstanding. I don't know when that particular point in time will arrive, but I am convinced that in the absence a large population die-off (as compared to the current exponential global population growth that we are witnessing), arriving sooner or later at that point in time is a certainty. ---end quote
And it may be sooner than any of us really want to admit. Some of the most fascinating (and disturbing) examples of collapse and die-off can be found in the work of Jay Forrester (World Dynamics) and his students in their book, Limits to Growth and their second, follow-up book 20 years later, called Beyond the Limits. All three used system dynamics simulations to create their scenarios. Have you read them? What does this group think the many scenarios those books highlight as plausible futures (both positive and negative)? In summary, the next 50-70 years promise to be quite 'interesting' in the Chinese proverb sort of way. A friend of mine is a Director of ReneSola - the Chinese solar wafer manufacture, which listed on AIM on 8 August 2006 (SOLA.L). The Company raised US$50 million through its placing at a market capitalisation of US$150 million. http://www.renesola.com/ One small step forward for non fossil fuels based electricity generation! -Justin Douglas Roberts wrote: ============================================================ FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org
