... and this is why probability and statistics should be a compulsory class
for *everyone* who goes through our education system :-)

-- R

On Sun, Dec 12, 2010 at 5:38 AM, Pamela McCorduck <[email protected]> wrote:

> The NYer can be obtuse about scientific topics, but this article intrigued
> me. Is the decline effect real?
>
> It's certainly the case that many medical practitioners follow outdated
> advice. And the use of statistics in medicine (to be sure, a special subset
> of science) can be awkward. I keep asking people: if I've lowered my chances
> by twenty percent of contracting a certain cancer by doing thus-and-so, and
> I find four other thus-and-so's to also do, does that mean I'll never get
> that cancer? No one can answer.
>
>
> On Dec 12, 2010, at 5:58 AM, [email protected] wrote:
>
> On 12 Dec 2010 at 0:46, Nicholas  Thompson wrote:
>
> At least until recently, when the NY-er writes about science, they try very
>
> hard not to write anything stupid.
>
>
> What??? Have you forgotten the whole disgraceful
> Paul Brodeur episode?  Refresh your memory by reading
> <http://bobpark.physics.umd.edu/WN10/wn121010.html>.
> Worse than stupid, verging on criminal, given the
> amount of money it's caused to be thrown away and
> the amount of anxiety it's generated or caused to
> be misplaced.
>
> I haven't yet read the "decline effect" article, and
> am not commenting on it, just on your quoted sentence
> above.
>
>
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>
>        "If you're away from Broadway, you're only camping out."
>
>
>                               Thomas E. Dewey
>
>
>
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> FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
> Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
> lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org
>
============================================================
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Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
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