Gary Johnson is not plausible. Didn't 538 say his odds were 2 in 100? Frank
Frank Wimberly Phone (505) 670-9918 On Oct 3, 2016 5:05 PM, "Robert Wall" <[email protected]> wrote: > Thanks, Glen. Quite interesting. > > This simulation ensemble conducted by *FiveThirtyEight *gives some > plausibility to New Mexico becoming the new Florida with Gary Johnson--not > Jill Stein--playing the part of Ralph Nader. It also gives some non-zero > plausibility to Gary Johnson becoming the next POTUS. So why isn't Johnson > in the debates? Isn't plausibility the real criterion? We need to find > out more about this potential next POTUS. Yes? 🤔😁 > > > On Mon, Oct 3, 2016 at 1:23 PM, glen ☣ <[email protected]> wrote: > >> Election Update: The Craziest End To The 2016 Campaign Runs Through New >> Mexico >> http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-the-craz >> iest-end-to-the-2016-campaign-runs-through-new-mexico/ >> >> "In 20,000 simulations of our polls-only model this morning, cases in >> which neither Clinton nor Trump received a majority of electoral votes and >> Johnson received at least one came up just 30 times, putting the chances at >> 0.15 percent." >> >> I _wish_ I could run 20k simulations in one morning! 8^) I just >> optimized our code so that drug moving from the heterogeneous lobule into >> the well-mixed body compartment are converted from objects to integer >> counts. That cut execution time by several orders of magnitude... but each >> experiment still takes ~10-12 hours. >> >> -- >> ☣ glen >> >> ============================================================ >> FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv >> Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College >> to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com > > > > ============================================================ > FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv > Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College > to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com >
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