http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/poll-florida-republicans-vote-for-hillary-clinton

http://www.slate.com/features/pkremp_forecast/report.html

From: Friam [mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Owen Densmore
Sent: Friday, November 04, 2016 10:45 AM
To: Complexity Coffee Group <[email protected]>
Subject: [FRIAM] Trump Is Just A Normal Polling Error Behind Clinton | 
FiveThirtyEight

What's spooky is, even tho the overall percentage is currently
    Hillery 67.8% Trump 32.1%
(good as a sure thing, right?) but the details show margins that could easily 
lead to a Trump win.

There's even an article on the same site: "Trump Is Just A Normal Polling Error 
Behind Clinton"
    
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-is-just-a-normal-polling-error-behind-clinton/

   -- Owen

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
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