Their's lies, damned lies, and statistics
(Attributed to Mark Twain)

On Fri, Nov 4, 2016 at 4:23 PM, Marcus Daniels <[email protected]> wrote:

> http://www.ncsbe.gov/absentee-data
>
>
>
> I grabbed the CSV file from North Carolina, and tabulated some aggregate
> counts.
>
>
>
> The registered voter counts are available here:
>
>  http://enr.ncsbe.gov/voter_stats/results.aspx?date=10-29-2016
>
>
>
> Democrats:2,715,039
>
> Republications: 2,067,392
>
>
>
> See Amy Schumer’s remarks on the utility of these records.    J
>
>
>
> http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/amy-schumer-has-a-last-
> ditch-appeal-that-might-actually-get-you-to-vote_us_
> 581c7bc9e4b0aac624839004
>
>
>
>    party                             race      count
>
> 1    DEM                            ASIAN  10738
>
> 2    LIB                            ASIAN    134
>
> 3    REP                            ASIAN   4172
>
> 4    UNA                            ASIAN  14689
>
> 5    DEM        BLACK or AFRICAN AMERICAN 506320
>
> 6    LIB        BLACK or AFRICAN AMERICAN    571
>
> 7    REP        BLACK or AFRICAN AMERICAN   8166
>
> 8    UNA        BLACK or AFRICAN AMERICAN  64221
>
> 9    DEM INDIAN AMERICAN or ALASKA NATIVE   6139
>
> 10   LIB INDIAN AMERICAN or ALASKA NATIVE     42
>
> 11   REP INDIAN AMERICAN or ALASKA NATIVE   2291
>
> 12   UNA INDIAN AMERICAN or ALASKA NATIVE   2815
>
> 13   DEM                            OTHER  20288
>
> 14   LIB                            OTHER    272
>
> 15   REP                            OTHER   7636
>
> 16   UNA                            OTHER  16924
>
> 17   DEM                TWO or MORE RACES   6845
>
> 18   LIB                TWO or MORE RACES    131
>
> 19   REP                TWO or MORE RACES   1723
>
> 20   UNA                TWO or MORE RACES   5296
>
> 21   DEM                     UNDESIGNATED  26117
>
> 22   LIB                     UNDESIGNATED    391
>
> 23   REP                     UNDESIGNATED  13778
>
> 24   UNA                     UNDESIGNATED  39862
>
> 25   REP                    'UNDESIGNATED      1
>
> 26   UNA                    'UNDESIGNATED      1
>
> 27   DEM                            WHITE 548643
>
> 28   LIB                            WHITE   6407
>
> 29   REP                            WHITE 823573
>
> 30   UNA                            WHITE 546961
>
>
>
>   party       count
>
> 1   DEM 1125090
>
> 2   LIB    7948
>
> 3   REP  861340
>
> 4   UNA  690769
>
>
>
>
>
> *From:* Friam [mailto:[email protected]] *On Behalf Of *Marcus
> Daniels
> *Sent:* Friday, November 04, 2016 3:52 PM
> *To:* The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <
> [email protected]>
> *Subject:* Re: [FRIAM] Trump Is Just A Normal Polling Error Behind
> Clinton | FiveThirtyEight
>
>
>
> The Republicans in Florida still have teensy bit more returned.    It
> depends on the defection rates.
>
>
>
> https://countyballotfiles.elections.myflorida.com/FVRSCountyBallotReports/
> AbsenteeEarlyVotingReports/PublicStats
>
>
>
> *From:* Friam [mailto:[email protected]
> <[email protected]>] *On Behalf Of *Owen Densmore
> *Sent:* Friday, November 04, 2016 3:41 PM
> *To:* The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <
> [email protected]>
> *Subject:* Re: [FRIAM] Trump Is Just A Normal Polling Error Behind
> Clinton | FiveThirtyEight
>
>
>
> Be wary of early voting statistics: they are biased towards demographics
> that are traditional liberal, thus biased towards Hillary.
>
>
>
>    -- Owen
>
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