"The toughest part is that South Korea is being held hostage. NK can devastate
SK even if hit with a pre-emptive strike."
How about Trump defines SK as an undesirable economic competitor to the U.S.
that steals jobs, and cuts them loose. He has no doubt been briefed on the
multi-lateral proliferation that would no doubt result, but it that assumes the
message stays clear in his mind.
From: Friam <friam-boun...@redfish.com> on behalf of Owen Densmore
Sent: Wednesday, August 9, 2017 3:40:59 PM
To: Complexity Coffee Group
Subject: [FRIAM] What are the scenarios? Game theory?
>From BBC a reasonable summary:
My question is simple: what *are* the alternatives? Is there an interesting
game theoretic analysis?
The toughest part is that South Korea is being held hostage. NK can devastate
SK even if hit with a pre-emptive strike.
As rash as Trump's bluster has been, the real question remains: what is the
reasonable response to NK's threat.
- Preemptive Strike? Likely a loser unless it is so massive as to obliterate
every human in NK. SK would be seriously damaged in the aftermath.
- Wait 'til NK strikes? Again, hardly reasonable.
- Anti-missile defense? Possibly, but you just gotta miss one for apocalypse.
And what do you do if you *do* succeed? SK is still hostage.
- Tit for Tat? Well, only in the bluster game. Our threats will match yours &
Has anyone heard of an interesting strategy?
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