Also maybe of interest, and with more detail, from JAMA: https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2762689?utm_source=twitter&utm_campaign=content-shareicons&utm_content=article_engagement&utm_medium=social&utm_term=030620#.XmISXNOJbgY.twitter <https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2762689?utm_source=twitter&utm_campaign=content-shareicons&utm_content=article_engagement&utm_medium=social&utm_term=030620#.XmISXNOJbgY.twitter>
This was linked in a financial times article here from the google search string I mentioned earlier. E > On Apr 9, 2020, at 3:20 AM, <[email protected]> > <[email protected]> wrote: > > Hi, Eric > > Taiwan BETTER than China!? That’s something, isn’t it? Isn’t there some > real hope in that? > > Where do I go to learn in detail about Taiwan’s response. > > Nick > > Nicholas Thompson > Emeritus Professor of Ethology and Psychology > Clark University > [email protected] <mailto:[email protected]> > https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/ > <https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/> > > > From: Friam <[email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>> On > Behalf Of David Eric Smith > Sent: Tuesday, April 7, 2020 11:53 PM > To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <[email protected] > <mailto:[email protected]>> > Subject: Re: [FRIAM] RedState/BlueState OneState/TwoState > >> Has china actually eliminated the virus from the population and the are >> merely putting out sparks that have blown in from other places? > > I would bet very high odds that is not the case. > > They have probably greatly reduced the caseload. Friends there say they are > rebuilding daily activities (up in Beijing, which was not by far the hardest > hit) slowly, carefully, and incrementally. But not by any stretch is life > normal, or expected to revert to normal in any foreseeable future. > > There was an NYT piece a few days ago saying that the intelligence dept. is > trying to get accurate case numbers because they don’t believe the central > government is reporting either honestly or accurately. That seems a decent > bet. And to the extent that this info is not coming from trump stooges at > the top, but being leaked from somewhere in the middle ranks, it is probably > coming from committed professionals who are concerned with what is true. > > My guess is that the forensics of what is going on in China will take a long > time to perform, and probably important information will be suppressed until > it can be lost forever. So for some of it ignoramus et ignoramibus. > > All that said, the clamp-down was impressive, and probably fairly effective. > Not a gold standard like Taiwan, but better than any of the major countries > in the west, and with a much larger population. > > Eric > ..-. . . -.. / - .... . / -- --- .-. .-.. --- -.-. -.- ... / . .-.. --- .. > FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv > Zoom Fridays 9:30a-12p Mtn GMT-6 bit.ly/virtualfriam > <http://bit.ly/virtualfriam> > unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com > <http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com> > archives: http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/ > <http://friam.471366.n2.nabble.com/> > FRIAM-COMIC http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/ > <http://friam-comic.blogspot.com/>
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