Hey, thought many of you might get a kick out of this (or be horrified... or both).
[image: The Covid Game.jpg] Note that it starts with someone who is for sure infected, and the footnote states it is within 1.5% accuracy for people ages 20 to 89. So far as I can trace it back, I think the author is a guy named Clay Dreslough. He posted it with the following guide a guide to help non-gamers (and the guide assumes people don't own a 100 sided die... which is weird ;- ): For non-nerds: The number before the 'd' is the number of dice you roll, the number after is the number of sides on the die. For example, 2d6 = roll two 6-sided dice and add them together, giving you a possible range of 2-12. In the 'Asymptomatic' box, there is an additional step in the formula, where you subtract a number. For example, the 'Mask' roll is 2d6-8, meaning roll two 6-sided dice and subtract eight, giving you a range of 0-4 for the number of people you infect while wearing a mask (results below zero are treated as zero — you can't infect a negative number of people). A d100 roll refers to taking two 10-sided dice, and designating one as your tens unit, one as your ones unit. The example in the upper right of the graphic shows a 3 and a 7, which becomes 37. Rolling two 0s yields 100, not 00. So, all the places where it asks for d100 + your age, you'll do just that. For me, being 49, this gives me a random number from 50 to 149. I then find the arrow matching my roll and follow it to the next box. Finally, CON refers to your "Constitution" stat in Dungeons & Dragons — a general measure of your physical health and endurance. The average person has a CON of 10. An olympic athlete has a CON around 18. Note that while the fatality rates are pretty accurate for current CDC data, there's really no data on "permanent damage" (in the same way that, 19+ years later, we are still arguing about the number of soldiers suffering from Gulf War Syndrome and the number of first responders sickened by 9/11). And of course the medical community doesn't define "a point of constitution", so that's just a guess. But I know more than one person that's "recovered" and are still incapacitated to some degree. ----------- Eric P. Charles, Ph.D. Department of Justice - Personnel Psychologist American University - Adjunct Instructor <[email protected]>
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