Eric,
I couldn’t “see” the graph in your email. A me-thing, or a you-thing? n Nicholas Thompson Emeritus Professor of Ethology and Psychology Clark University <mailto:[email protected]> [email protected] <https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/> https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/ From: Friam <[email protected]> On Behalf Of Eric Charles Sent: Wednesday, July 22, 2020 7:18 PM To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <[email protected]> Subject: [FRIAM] Covid graph I know some at FRIAM like to obsess over the ongoing apocalypse, so I thought you might appreciate this. It is the second covid graph I prepared for my Facebook feed. I think trying to think clearly about what's going on requires a data-visualization format something like this. We desperately want the number of confirmed cases to predict deaths, but it really doesn't seem to. As a data-analysis person, I find the non-correlation between confirmed cases and deaths fascinating. If I was making this specifically for FRIAM, I would put both cases and deaths on the same graph with two different scales, but that wouldn't work at all for most random people I know. I posted it to The Book of Face with this caption: --------------- 10 Days since my last graph... Sweden is basically done, as predicted... U.S. has been spiking in confirmed cases for over a month, but the associated uptick in deaths is already leveling off after starting two weeks ago, and didn't get very far. It is obviously unfortunate we didn't continue the downward trend we were working... but I'm not sure it was ever realistic for the U.S. to do that, and, if we were going to have an uptick, this isn't nearly as bad as it could be.
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