Date: Thu, 14 Jan 1999 19:16:17 +0900
From: Hendrik <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: Multiple recipients of NETSOURCE-L <netsource-l@[192.168.0.225]>
Subject: [NS] Food shortages ahead?

This is a digest of 3 messages sent by Hendrik:

NORTH KOREANS RESORT TO CANNIBALISM TO SURVIVE

By Hyun-Sung Khang Yanji

The Sunday Times (London); 1-3-99

CLUTCHING her baby to her, Kim Soon-Hee shuddered as she described the
desolation she had escaped in North Korea, a country so severely
afflicted by famine that some people have been reduced to eating
children to survive...

CWD- I have omitted the rest of this horrible article, which describes
the gruesome things to which starving people are drive, and tells of
concentration camps established to house starving people.

I give you the second article in full:

WORLD IS A FAR MORE DISASTROUS PLACE TO BE

Nick Nuttall on an insurance industry audit of global strife
December 30 1998, Info Times http://www.the-times.co.uk/news

LARGE-SCALE natural disasters are three times as common as they were in the
1960s, experts said yesterday as they declared 1998 the most calamitous on
record.

Damage from catastrophic storms and floods is also costing many billions of
pounds more, according to Munich Re, one of the biggest reinsurance
companies, which has been monitoring natural disasters for a quarter of a
century.

A spokesman for the company, which advises the rest of the insurance
industry, said yesterday: "Comparing the figures for the 1960s and the past
ten years, we have established that the number of great natural
catastrophes was three times larger. The cost to the world's economies,
after adjusting for inflation, is nine times higher and for the insurance
industry three times as much."

Some experts claim that the rising rate of natural catastrophes is making
more parts of the globe uninsurable, especially in low-lying areas in the
Pacific, Asia and the Caribbean. Figures for this year, released yesterday,
show that more than 700 so-called "large-loss events", which killed an
estimated 50,000 people, struck across the globe.

The most frequent natural catastrophes in 1998 were windstorms, of which
240 were significant, and floods, of which there were 170. They accounted
for 85 per cent of the economic losses. In 1995, the previous most
calamitous year, there were 100 fewer "large-loss events". Last year there
were 538.

The most recent natural disaster was caused by Hurricane Mitch, which hit
Central America and especially Honduras and Nicaragua killing an estimated
9,200 people and costing $5 billion (£3.1 billion) in uninsured and $150
million in insured losses.

Europe was also plagued with costly natural disasters, the blame being put
on higher than average winter temperatures triggering extreme weather. The
biggest uninsured losses in Europe in 1998 are believed to have been caused
by the heatwaves and forest fires that hit Greece between June and August.
These are estimated to have cost the country $675 million.

The biggest insured losses, costed at $530 million, were in The Netherlands
and Belgium in September. Second, at $500 million, was the damage caused by
the storms that swept Europe in January.

That loss was equalled by the floods in Britain in April which cost $500
million, triggering insurance claims of $250 million.

The big rise in natural disasters this year is being blamed on rising
global temperatures aggravating changes to La Niña, a climatic cycle in the
Pacific that follows El Niño and spawns heavy rains in Asia. Gerhard Berz,
the head of the geoscience research centre at Munich Re, said that economic
loss and human misery would rise further if global warming continued in
line with scientists' forecasts.

Dr Berz, whose company has been montioring the level and cost of natural
disasters since the late 1960s, said: "A further advance in man-made
climate change will almost invariably bring us increasingly extreme natural
events and consequently increasingly large catastrophe losses.

"The progress achieved at the fourth climate summit in Buenos Aires at the
beginning of November is not enough to halt global warming and stabilise
the world's climate in the long term." If the 1995 earthquake in Kobe,
Japan, which cost $100 billion, is removed from the statistics, then 1998
also becomes the most expensive year on record for all kinds of natural
disasters.

Most of this year's storms and floods hit poor, uninsured parts of the
globe, so the loss to the insurance industry is forecast to be less, at
about $15 billion. But that figure is up from $4.5 billion in 1997 and
continues a rising trend. 1998: The worst year for the world:

Affected Deaths

 FLOODS UK April 500m 5 China May-Sep 30,000m 3,656 Romania
June 160m 31 Bangladesh,India Jul-Sep 5,000m 4,500 Netherlands,Belgium Sept
530m

HURRICANE Caribbean,USA Jul-Sep 10,000m 4,000 Honduras,Nicaragua Oct-Nov
5,000m

TROPICAL CYCLONE India June 1,700m 10,000

TYPHOON Japan Sept 1,500m 18

EARTHQUAKE Afghanistan Apr-Jun 9,100

HEAT WAVE, FOREST FIRES Brazil,Roraima Mar-Apr USA May-Aug 4,275m 130
Greece Jun-Aug 675m 14

WINTER STORMS UK,France,Spain | Portugal,Belgium | Netherlands,Germany |Jan
500m 15 Switzerland,Austria | Poland |

MUDSLIDES Italy May 150

COLD WAVE Romania,Poland | Latvia,Lithuania |Nov 215 Russia,Moldova |
France,Italy

ICE STORM Canada, USA Jan 2,500m 23

VOLCANO Iceland Dec 27

CWD: The meat of the third is in the first few paragraphs:

1998'S DISASTERS COULD LEAD TO WIDESPREAD HUNGER IN 1999

Disaster News http://disasternews.net

Posted on Mon, 04 Jan 1999 15:44:02 GMT
Written by Doug Rekenthaler, Managing Editor, DisasterRelief.org

Last year's bumper crop of disasters could lead to abysmal harvests and
significant threats of famine, malnutrition and hunger in 1999, say
officials with the United Nations' World Food Program (WFP).

Hurricane Mitch's devastation of Honduras and its Central American
neighbors - especially their agricultural sectors - could lead to major
food shortages throughout the region. Additionally, 1998's epic floods
in China, Bangladesh, Korea and elsewhere are expected to place added
pressures on surviving yields.

Famine has been a constant presence in war-torn, disaster-plagued Sudan.

Economic problems in Russia, China, Latin America, and other developing
regions also could lead to food shortages, primarily in poorer
populations or regions already suffering from poor harvests. Central
America, for example, suffered a double whammy from Hurricane Mitch,
which decimated the region's agriculture and, by extension, its
economies.

As a result, chronic food shortages are expected through 2000 or until
appreciable harvests once again can be expected.

In a recent statement, WFP Executive Director Catherine Bertini warned
that the world enters the new year with an "increased threat of famine,
malnutrition, and endemic hunger. Forecasts for 1999 show there will
likely be an increase in the number of countries suffering emergencies
and the number of people needing humanitarian assistance."...


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