Chris,

I won't get "into it" with you again.  Just this one rebuttal of the 
Mearsheimer/Walt article.
==========================

Israel Lobby 
By Ruth R. Wisse
1037 words
22 March 2006
The Wall Street Journal
A16
English
In Boston in the early 1980s, I was asked by an Irish cab driver what language 
I had been speaking with a fellow passenger we had just dropped off. When I 
told him, Hebrew, the language of Israel, the man exclaimed: "Israel! That's 
America's fighting front line! Israel fights our battles better than we could 
fight them ourselves." 

Now Professors Stephen Walt of Harvard's Kennedy School of Government and John 
Mearsheimer of the University of Chicago would have us believe that the Boston 
cabbie was a dupe of the "unmatched power of the Israel Lobby." Their essay in 
the latest London Review of Books -- based on a longer working paper on the 
Kennedy Center Web site -- contends that the U.S. government and most of its 
citizens are fatally in thrall to a "coalition of individuals and organizations 
who actively work to steer U.S. foreign policy in a pro-Israel direction." 
Though not all members of said "coalition" are Jews, and though not all Jews 
are members, the major schemers are such key organizations as the 
America-Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC) and the Conference of 
Presidents of Major Jewish Organizations, joined by neoconservatives, think 
tanks, and a large network of accomplices including (they will learn to their 
surprise) The Wall Street Journal and the New York Times. 

The thesis of Messrs. Walt and Mearsheimer is remarkably broad and 
singleminded: A loose association of special-interest groups has persuaded the 
country to sacrifice its interests to a foreign power, thereby jeopardizing 
"not only U.S. security but that of much of the rest of the world." Israel, it 
is claimed, hurts every facet of American life: U.S. emergency aid to Israel 
during the War of 1973 triggered a damaging OPEC oil embargo. Israel is a 
liability in the war on terror: It goaded the U.S. into the war in Iraq, 
betrays America through espionage, and destroys American democracy by quashing 
all criticism. Recently the Israel Lobby -- a term the authors render with a 
sinister capital "L" -- has begun to intimidate the universities by trying to 
create a field of Israel Studies and monitoring anti-Israel bias. 

Were it not for the Lobby, the U.S. would have nothing to fear in the world, 
not even a nuclear threat from Iran: "If Washington could live with a nuclear 
Soviet Union, a nuclear China or even a nuclear North Korea, it can live with a 
nuclear Iran. And that is why the Lobby must keep up constant pressure on 
politicians to confront Tehran." Not Iran but the Lobby is the true threat to 
America's security by trying to compel the U.S. to oppose Iran against its 
interests. Most dangerously, Jews control the man at the top: In the spring of 
2002 "[Ariel] Sharon and the Lobby took on the president of the United States 
and triumphed." Given the creative scope of these charges, one is surprised to 
find no hint of Israel's role in the spread of avian flu. 

Organized as a prosecutorial indictment rather than an inquiry, the essay does 
not tell us why the "Israel Lobby" should have formed in the first place. The 
21 countries of the Arab League with ties to 1.2 billion Muslims world-wide are 
nowhere present as active political agents. There is no mention of the Arab 
rejection of the United Nations's partition of Palestine in 1948; no 58-year 
Arab League boycott of Israel and companies trading with Israel; no Arab 
attacks of 1948, 1967 and 1973; no Arab-Soviet resolution at the U.N. defining 
Zionism as racism; no monetary and strategic support for Arab terrorism against 
Jews and Israel; and no Hamas dedication to destroying the Jewish state. The 
authors do not ask why Arab aggression and Muslim "rage against Israel" should 
have morphed into a war against the U.S. and the West. Israel's existence 
elicits Arab and Muslim hostility, hence in their view Israel is to blame for 
Arab and Muslim carnage. 

Judging from the initial reaction to their article (one of my students called 
it "wacko quacko"), the two professors may be subjected to more ridicule than 
rejoinder. Several Web sites are in the process of listing all their bloopers, 
distortions and omissions. Their tone resembles nothing so much as Wilhelm 
Marr's 1879 pamphlet, "The Victory of Judaism over Germandom," which declared 
of the Jews that "There is no stopping them . . . German culture has proved 
itself ineffective and powerless against this foreign power. This is a fact; a 
brute inexorable fact." A parallel edition of these two texts might highlight 
some American refinements on the European model, such as the anti-Semitic lie 
that "Israeli citizenship is based on the principle of blood kinship." In fact, 
unlike neighboring Arab countries, Israeli citizenship is not conditional on 
religion or race. 

Yet it would be a mistake to treat this article on the "Israel Lobby" as an 
attack on Israel alone, or on its Jewish defenders, or on the organizations and 
individuals it singles out for condemnation. Its true target is the American 
public, which now supports Israel with higher levels of confidence than ever 
before. When the authors imply that the bipartisan support of Israel in 
Congress is a result of Jewish influence, they function as classic conspiracy 
theorists who attribute decisions to nefarious alliances rather than to the 
choices of a democratic electorate. Their contempt for fellow citizens dictates 
their claims of a gullible and stupid America. Their insistence that American 
support for Israel is bought and paid for by the Lobby heaps scorn on American 
judgment and values. 

No wonder David Duke, white supremacist and former leader of the Ku Klux Klan, 
claimed that this article "validated every major point I have been making since 
even before the [Iraq] war started." But he and Walt-Mearsheimer have it 
backwards: Americans don't support Israel because of the strength of any lobby; 
Israel earns American support the hard way, for the very reasons the Boston 
cabbie cited several decades ago. 

--- 

Ms. Wisse is the Martin Peretz Professor of Yiddish Literature and professor of 
comparative literature at Harvard. 

-----Original Message-----
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
[mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] Behalf Of Christoph Reuss
Sent: Wednesday, March 22, 2006 1:06 PM
To: [email protected]
Subject: RE: [Futurework] Iran


> I do believe in minimum regret decision making.  Take that decision
> which if things go wrong is the one that carries the least cost.

The least cost to whom?  Israel is a burden, rather than an asset, to the US.

Chris


 http://www.lrb.co.uk/v28/n06/mear01_.html

The Israel Lobby

   by John Mearsheimer and Stephen Walt
   (John Mearsheimer is the Wendell Harrison Professor of Political Science
    at Chicago, and the author of The Tragedy of Great Power Politics.
    Stephen Walt is the Robert and Renee Belfer Professor of International
    Affairs at the Kennedy School of Government at Harvard. His most recent
    book is Taming American Power: The Global Response to US Primacy.)

For the past several decades, and especially since the Six-Day War in 1967,
the centrepiece of US Middle Eastern policy has been its relationship with
Israel. The combination of unwavering support for Israel and the related
effort to spread 'democracy' throughout the region has inflamed Arab and
Islamic opinion and jeopardised not only US security but that of much of
the rest of the world. This situation has no equal in American political
history. Why has the US been willing to set aside its own security and that
of many of its allies in order to advance the interests of another state?
One might assume that the bond between the two countries was based on
shared strategic interests or compelling moral imperatives, but neither
explanation can account for the remarkable level of material and diplomatic
support that the US provides.

Instead, the thrust of US policy in the region derives almost entirely from
domestic politics, and especially the activities of the 'Israel Lobby'.
Other special-interest groups have managed to skew foreign policy, but no
lobby has managed to divert it as far from what the national interest would
suggest, while simultaneously convincing Americans that US interests and
those of the other country - in this case, Israel - are essentially
identical.

Since the October War in 1973, Washington has provided Israel with a level
of support dwarfing that given to any other state. It has been the largest
annual recipient of direct economic and military assistance since 1976, and
is the largest recipient in total since World War Two, to the tune of well
over $140 billion (in 2004 dollars). Israel receives about $3 billion in
direct assistance each year, roughly one-fifth of the foreign aid budget,
and worth about $500 a year for every Israeli. This largesse is especially
striking since Israel is now a wealthy industrial state with a per capita
income roughly equal to that of South Korea or Spain.

Other recipients get their money in quarterly installments, but Israel
receives its entire appropriation at the beginning of each fiscal year and
can thus earn interest on it. Most recipients of aid given for military
purposes are required to spend all of it in the US, but Israel is allowed
to use roughly 25 per cent of its allocation to subsidise its own defence
industry. It is the only recipient that does not have to account for how
the aid is spent, which makes it virtually impossible to prevent the money
from being used for purposes the US opposes, such as building settlements
on the West Bank. Moreover, the US has provided Israel with nearly $3
billion to develop weapons systems, and given it access to such top-drawer
weaponry as Blackhawk helicopters and F-16 jets. Finally, the US gives
Israel access to intelligence it denies to its Nato allies and has turned a
blind eye to Israel's acquisition of nuclear weapons.

Washington also provides Israel with consistent diplomatic support. Since
1982, the US has vetoed 32 Security Council resolutions critical of Israel,
more than the total number of vetoes cast by all the other Security Council
members. It blocks the efforts of Arab states to put Israel's nuclear
arsenal on the IAEA's agenda. The US comes to the rescue in wartime and
takes Israel's side when negotiating peace. The Nixon administration
protected it from the threat of Soviet intervention and resupplied it
during the October War. Washington was deeply involved in the negotiations
that ended that war, as well as in the lengthy 'step-by-step' process that
followed, just as it played a key role in the negotiations that preceded
and followed the 1993 Oslo Accords. In each case there was occasional
friction between US and Israeli officials, but the US consistently
supported the Israeli position. One American participant at Camp David in
2000 later said: 'Far too often, we functioned . . . as Israel's lawyer.'
Finally, the Bush administration's ambition to transform the Middle East is
at least partly aimed at improving Israel's strategic situation.

This extraordinary generosity might be understandable if Israel were a
vital strategic asset or if there were a compelling moral case for US
backing. But neither explanation is convincing. One might argue that Israel
was an asset during the Cold War. By serving as America's proxy after 1967,
it helped contain Soviet expansion in the region and inflicted humiliating
defeats on Soviet clients like Egypt and Syria. It occasionally helped
protect other US allies (like King Hussein of Jordan) and its military
prowess forced Moscow to spend more on backing its own client states. It
also provided useful intelligence about Soviet capabilities.

Backing Israel was not cheap, however, and it complicated America's
relations with the Arab world. For example, the decision to give $2.2
billion in emergency military aid during the October War triggered an Opec
oil embargo that inflicted considerable damage on Western economies. For
all that, Israel's armed forces were not in a position to protect US
interests in the region. The US could not, for example, rely on Israel when
the Iranian Revolution in 1979 raised concerns about the security of oil
supplies, and had to create its own Rapid Deployment Force instead.

The first Gulf War revealed the extent to which Israel was becoming a
strategic burden. The US could not use Israeli bases without rupturing the
anti-Iraq coalition, and had to divert resources (e.g. Patriot missile
batteries) to prevent Tel Aviv doing anything that might harm the alliance
against Saddam Hussein. History repeated itself in 2003: although Israel
was eager for the US to attack Iraq, Bush could not ask it to help without
triggering Arab opposition. So Israel stayed on the sidelines once again.

Beginning in the 1990s, and even more after 9/11, US support has been
justified by the claim that both states are threatened by terrorist groups
originating in the Arab and Muslim world, and by 'rogue states' that back
these groups and seek weapons of mass destruction. This is taken to mean
not only that Washington should give Israel a free hand in dealing with the
Palestinians and not press it to make concessions until all Palestinian
terrorists are imprisoned or dead, but that the US should go after
countries like Iran and Syria. Israel is thus seen as a crucial ally in the
war on terror, because its enemies are America's enemies. In fact, Israel
is a liability in the war on terror and the broader effort to deal with
rogue states.

'Terrorism' is not a single adversary, but a tactic employed by a wide
array of political groups. The terrorist organisations that threaten Israel
do not threaten the United States, except when it intervenes against them
(as in Lebanon in 1982). Moreover, Palestinian terrorism is not random
violence directed against Israel or 'the West'; it is largely a response to
Israel's prolonged campaign to colonise the West Bank and Gaza Strip.

More important, saying that Israel and the US are united by a shared
terrorist threat has the causal relationship backwards: the US has a
terrorism problem in good part because it is so closely allied with Israel,
not the other way around. Support for Israel is not the only source of
anti-American terrorism, but it is an important one, and it makes winning
the war on terror more difficult. There is no question that many al-Qaida
leaders, including Osama bin Laden, are motivated by Israel's presence in
Jerusalem and the plight of the Palestinians. Unconditional support for
Israel makes it easier for extremists to rally popular support and to
attract recruits.

As for so-called rogue states in the Middle East, they are not a dire
threat to vital US interests, except inasmuch as they are a threat to
Israel. Even if these states acquire nuclear weapons - which is obviously
undesirable - neither America nor Israel could be blackmailed, because the
blackmailer could not carry out the threat without suffering overwhelming
retaliation. The danger of a nuclear handover to terrorists is equally
remote, because a rogue state could not be sure the transfer would go
undetected or that it would not be blamed and punished afterwards. The
relationship with Israel actually makes it harder for the US to deal with
these states. Israel's nuclear arsenal is one reason some of its neighbours
want nuclear weapons, and threatening them with regime change merely
increases that desire.

A final reason to question Israel's strategic value is that it does not
behave like a loyal ally. Israeli officials frequently ignore US requests
and renege on promises (including pledges to stop building settlements and
to refrain from 'targeted assassinations' of Palestinian leaders). Israel
has provided sensitive military technology to potential rivals like China,
in what the State Department inspector-general called 'a systematic and
growing pattern of unauthorised transfers'. According to the General
Accounting Office, Israel also 'conducts the most aggressive espionage
operations against the US of any ally'. In addition to the case of Jonathan
Pollard, who gave Israel large quantities of classified material in the
early 1980s (which it reportedly passed on to the Soviet Union in return
for more exit visas for Soviet Jews), a new controversy erupted in 2004
when it was revealed that a key Pentagon official called Larry Franklin had
passed classified information to an Israeli diplomat. Israel is hardly the
only country that spies on the US, but its willingness to spy on its
principal patron casts further doubt on its strategic value.

Israel's strategic value isn't the only issue. Its backers also argue that
it deserves unqualified support because it is weak and surrounded by
enemies; it is a democracy; the Jewish people have suffered from past
crimes and therefore deserve special treatment; and Israel's conduct has
been morally superior to that of its adversaries. On close inspection, none
of these arguments is persuasive. There is a strong moral case for
supporting Israel's existence, but that is not in jeopardy. Viewed
objectively, its past and present conduct offers no moral basis for
privileging it over the Palestinians.

Israel is often portrayed as David confronted by Goliath, but the converse
is closer to the truth. Contrary to popular belief, the Zionists had
larger, better equipped and better led forces during the 1947-49 War of
Independence, and the Israel Defence Forces won quick and easy victories
against Egypt in 1956 and against Egypt, Jordan and Syria in 1967 - all of
this before large-scale US aid began flowing. Today, Israel is the
strongest military power in the Middle East. Its conventional forces are
far superior to those of its neighbours and it is the only state in the
region with nuclear weapons. Egypt and Jordan have signed peace treaties
with it, and Saudi Arabia has offered to do so. Syria has lost its Soviet
patron, Iraq has been devastated by three disastrous wars and Iran is
hundreds of miles away. The Palestinians barely have an effective police
force, let alone an army that could pose a threat to Israel. According to a
2005 assessment by Tel Aviv University's Jaffee Centre for Strategic
Studies, 'the strategic balance decidedly favours Israel, which has
continued to widen the qualitative gap between its own military capability
and deterrence powers and those of its neighbours.' If backing the underdog
were a compelling motive, the United States would be supporting Israel's
opponents.

.....

[complete paper at
 http://ksgnotes1.harvard.edu/Research/wpaper.nsf/rwp/RWP06-011 ]



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