Hi, Ray,
If you have a moment, could you say more about the seven cycles you mention, 
and what they are?

Many thanks,

Lawry

On Sep 21, 2010, at 2:12 PM, Ray Harrell wrote:

> The system doesn’t work.   God!   I’m beginning to sound like a Swiss Gypsy.  
>  But why in the dickens can’t anyone get this? 
> 
>  
> 
> The system cut out it’s eyes,  poked holes in its ears then stuck a burning 
> coal up its nose and Art went away in favor of commercial trinkets and trash 
> perceptivity.     All  for a buck and now it doesn’t know how to look  nor 
> where.  
> 
>  
> 
> We have a story about a pretty boy with perfect feathers on his headdress, 
> but a lousy forester, who coyote tricked into giving away his eyes for flower 
> eyes which could see through anything and spot the game,  but then the 
> flowers wilted and he was blind.   
> 
>  
> 
> But what the hell.   Just some dumb Indian story right?  Certainly not Jevons 
> or even Scottish.    But let’s be clear.    Numbers are not metaphor.   They 
> are contractile reductions to a singularity.    You can’t expect growth from 
> a singularity without an explosion.    Metaphor on the other hand is the 
> perfect modality for examining systems.      Anyone ever heard or read the 
> European guys named George Lakoff or Robert Sternberg, or Robert Frank?      
> 
>  
> 
> Meanwhile British Columbia, the most liberal and green of all of the 
> provinces,  is going to destroy a sacred lake and a tradition of thousands of 
> years just for a buck.    Go figure.    
> 
>  
> 
> Will the little brothers ever learn?   That’s why they got kicked out of the 
> garden in the first place.    Even their Bible, New Testament,  Korans and 
> books of Mormon  tells the story but they refused to admit that that Adam’s  
> big brother was left behind to care for the garden.     Their metaphor is 
> that the garden has to collapse in order for humans to advance. (The tree of 
> “knowledge?”   But it was just the tree of sex and violence and technology as 
> a substitute for the development of the human instrument.   A recipe for 
> human laziness and the idle rich.)     
> 
>  
> 
> Last night I read a prophecy from my old teacher.   I hadn’t read it before.  
>   He said that the world of the present had already been dreamed and that the 
> human spirit world had collapsed in the dream and the material world would 
> soon follow in a great cleansing to make way for the next life and age.    He 
> also said that it probably would be another species.    The Creator had 
> completed the seven cycles with this species and they failed to measure up.
> 
>  
> 
> REH
> 
>  
> 
> From: [email protected] 
> [mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Arthur Cordell
> Sent: Tuesday, September 21, 2010 12:41 PM
> To: 'RE-DESIGNING WORK, INCOME DISTRIBUTION, EDUCATION'
> Subject: [Futurework] Unemployed Over 50, Fears of Never Working Again
> 
>  
> 
> September 19, 2010  NY Times
> 
> For the Unemployed Over 50, Fears of Never Working Again
> 
> By MOTOKO RICH
> 
> VASHON ISLAND, Wash. — Patricia Reid is not in her 70s, an age when many 
> Americans continue to work. She is not even in her 60s. She is just 57.
> 
> But four years after losing her job she cannot, in her darkest moments, 
> escape a nagging thought: she may never work again.
> 
> College educated, with a degree in business administration, she is 
> experienced, having worked for two decades as an internal auditor and analyst 
> at Boeing before losing that job.
> 
> But that does not seem to matter, not for her and not for a growing number of 
> people in their 50s and 60s who desperately want or need to work to pay for 
> retirement and who are starting to worry that they may be discarded from the 
> work force — forever.
> 
> Since the economic collapse, there are not enough jobs being created for the 
> population as a whole, much less for those in the twilight of their careers.
> 
> Of the 14.9 million unemployed, more than 2.2 million are 55 or older. Nearly 
> half of them have been unemployed six months or longer, according to the 
> Labor Department. The unemployment rate in the group — 7.3 percent — is at a 
> record, more than double what it was at the beginning of the latest recession.
> 
> After other recent downturns, older people who lost jobs fretted about how 
> long it would take to return to the work force and worried that they might 
> never recover their former incomes. But today, because it will take years to 
> absorb the giant pool of unemployed at the economy’s recent pace, many of 
> these older people may simply age out of the labor force before their luck 
> changes.
> 
> For Ms. Reid, it has been four years of hunting — without a single job offer. 
> She buzzes energetically as she describes the countless applications she has 
> lobbed through the Internet, as well as the online courses she is taking to 
> burnish her software skills.
> 
> Still, when she is pressed, her can-do spirit falters.
> 
> “There are these fears in the background, and they are suppressed,” said Ms. 
> Reid, who is now selling some of her jewelry and clothes online and is late 
> on some credit card payments. “I have had nightmares about becoming a bag 
> lady,” she said. “It could happen to anyone. So many people are so close to 
> it, and they don’t even realize it.”
> 
> Being unemployed at any age can be crushing. But older workers suspect their 
> résumés often get shoved aside in favor of those from younger workers. Others 
> discover that their job-seeking skills — as well as some technical skills 
> sought by employers — are rusty after years of working for the same company.
> 
> Many had in fact anticipated working past conventional retirement ages to 
> gird themselves financially for longer life spans, expensive health care and 
> reduced pension guarantees.
> 
> The most recent recession has increased the need to extend working life. Home 
> values, often a family’s most important asset, have been battered. Stock 
> portfolios are only now starting to recover. According to a Gallup poll in 
> April, more than a third of people not yet retired plan to work beyond age 
> 65, compared with just 12 percent in 1995.
> 
> Older workers who lose their jobs could pose a policy problem if they lose 
> their ability to be self-sufficient. “That’s what we should be worrying 
> about,” said Carl E. Van Horn, professor of public policy and director of the 
> John J. Heldrich Center for Workforce Development at Rutgers University, 
> “what it means to this class of the new unemployables, people who have been 
> cast adrift at a very vulnerable part of their career and their life.”
> 
> Forced early retirement imposes an intense financial strain, particularly for 
> those at lower incomes. The recession and its aftermath have already pushed 
> down some older workers. In figures released last week by the Census Bureau, 
> the poverty rate among those 55 to 64 increased to 9.4 percent in 2009, from 
> 8.6 percent in 2007.
> 
> But even middle-class people who might skate by on savings or a spouse’s 
> income are jarred by an abrupt end to working life and to a secure retirement.
> 
> “That’s what I spent my whole life in pursuit of, was security,” Ms. Reid 
> said. “Until the last few years, I felt very secure in my job.”
> 
> As an auditor, Ms. Reid loved figuring out the kinks in a manufacturing or 
> parts delivery process. But after more than 20 years of commuting across 
> Puget Sound to Boeing, Ms. Reid was exhausted when she was let go from her 
> $80,000-a-year job.
> 
> Stunned and depressed, she sent out résumés, but figured she had a little 
> time to recover. So she took vacations to Turkey and Thailand with her 
> husband, who is a home repairman. She sought chiropractic treatments for a 
> neck injury and helped nurse a priest dying of cancer.
> 
> Most of her days now are spent in front of a laptop, holed up in a lighthouse 
> garret atop the house that her husband, Denny Mielock, built in the 1990s on 
> a breathtaking piece of property overlooking the sound.
> 
> As she browses the job listings that clog her e-mail in-box, she refuses to 
> give in to her fears. “If I let myself think like that all the time,” she 
> said, “I could not even bear getting out of bed in the morning.”
> 
> With her husband’s home repair business pummeled by the housing downturn, the 
> bills are mounting. Although the couple do not have a mortgage on their 
> 3,000-square-foot house, they pay close to $7,000 a year in property taxes. 
> The roof is leaking. Their utility bills can be $300 a month in the winter, 
> even though they often keep the thermostat turned down to 50 degrees.
> 
> They could try to sell their home, but given the depressed housing market, 
> they are reluctant.
> 
> “We are circling the drain here, and I am bailing like hell,” said Ms. Reid, 
> emitting an incongruous cackle, as if laughter is the only response to her 
> plight. “But the boat is still sinking.”
> 
> It is not just the finances that have destabilized her life.
> 
> Her husband worries that she isolates herself and that she does not socialize 
> enough. “We’ve both been hard workers our whole lives,” said Mr. Mielock, 59. 
> Ms. Reid sometimes rose just after 3 a.m. to make the hourlong commute to 
> Boeing’s data center in Bellevue and attended night school to earn a master’s 
> in management information systems.
> 
> “A job is more than a job, you know,” Mr. Mielock said. “It’s where you fit 
> in society.”
> 
> Here in the greater Seattle area, a fifth of those claiming extended 
> unemployment benefits are 55 and older.
> 
> To help seniors polish their job-seeking skills, WorkSource, a local 
> consortium of government and nonprofit groups, recently began offering 
> seminars. On a recent morning, 14 people gathered in a windowless conference 
> room at a local community college to get tips on how to age-proof their 
> résumés and deflect questions about being overqualified.
> 
> Motivational posters hung on one wall, bearing slogans like “Failure is the 
> path of least persistence.”
> 
> Using PowerPoint slides, Liz Howland, the chipper but no-nonsense session 
> leader, projected some common myths about older job-seekers on a screen: 
> “Older workers are less capable of evaluating information, making decisions 
> and problem-solving” or “Older workers are rigid and inflexible and have 
> trouble adapting to change.”
> 
> Ms. Howland, 61, ticked off the reasons those statements were inaccurate. But 
> a clear undercurrent of anxiety ran through the room. “Is it really true that 
> if you have the energy and the passion that they will overlook the age 
> factor?” asked a 61-year-old man who had been laid off from a furniture maker 
> last October.
> 
> Gallows humor reigned. As Ms. Howland — who suggested that applicants remove 
> any dates older than 15 years from their résumé — advised the group on how to 
> finesse interview questions like “When did you have the job that helped you 
> develop that skill?” one out-of-work journalist deadpanned: “How about 
> ‘during the 20th century?’ ”
> 
> During a break, Anne Richard, who declined to give her age, confessed she was 
> afraid she would not be able to work again after losing her contract as a 
> house director at a University of Washington sorority in June. Although she 
> had 20 years of experience as an office clerk in Chattanooga, Tenn., she 
> feared her technology skills had fallen behind.
> 
> “I don’t feel like I can compete with kids who have been on computers all 
> their lives,” said Ms. Richard, who was sleeping on the couch of a couple she 
> had met at church and contemplating imminent homelessness.
> 
> Older people who lose their jobs take longer to find work. In August, the 
> average time unemployed for those 55 and older was slightly more than 39 
> weeks, according to the Labor Department, the longest of any age group. That 
> is much worse than in August 1983, also after a deep recession, when someone 
> unemployed in that age group spent an average of 27.5 weeks finding work.
> 
> At this year’s pace of an average of 82,000 new jobs a month, it will take at 
> least eight more years to create the 8 million positions lost during the 
> recession. And that does not even allow for population growth.
> 
> Advocates for the elderly worry that younger people are more likely to fill 
> the new jobs as well.
> 
> “I do think the longer someone is out of work, the more employers are going 
> to question why it is that someone hasn’t been able to find work,” said Sara 
> Rix, senior strategic policy adviser at AARP, the lobbying group for seniors. 
> “Their skills have atrophied for one thing, and technology changes so rapidly 
> that even if nothing happened to the skills that you have, they may become 
> increasingly less relevant to the jobs that are becoming available.”
> 
> In four years of job hunting, Ms. Reid has discovered that she is no longer 
> technologically proficient. In one of a handful of interviews she has 
> secured, for an auditing position at the Port of Seattle, she learned that 
> the job required skills in PeopleSoft, financial software she had never used. 
> She assumes that deficiency cost her the job.
> 
> Ms. Reid is still five years away from being eligible for Social Security. 
> But even then, she would be drawing early, which reduces monthly payments. 
> Taking Social Security at 62 means a retiree would receive a 25 percent lower 
> monthly payout than if she worked until 66.
> 
> Ms. Reid is in some ways luckier than others. Boeing paid her a six-month 
> severance, and she has health care benefits that cover her and her husband 
> for $40 a month.
> 
> And she admits some regrets: she had a $180,000 balance in her 401(k) 
> account, and paid $80,000 in penalties and taxes when she cashed it out 
> early. She did not rein in her expenses right away. And now, her $500-a-week 
> unemployment benefits have been exhausted.
> 
> She has since cut back, forgoing Nordstrom shopping sprees and theater 
> subscriptions, but also cutting out red meat at home and putting off home 
> repairs.
> 
> In order to qualify for accounting posts, she is taking an online training 
> course in QuickBooks, a popular accounting software used by small businesses. 
> She recently signed up for a tax course at an H&R Block tax preparation 
> office in Seattle.
> 
> And she is plugging ahead with her current plan: to send out 600 applications 
> to accounting firms in the area, offering her services for the next tax 
> season. Eventually, she wants to open her own business.
> 
> With odd jobs and her husband’s — albeit shriveled — earnings, she could 
> stagger along. For now, she stitches together an income by gardening for 
> neighbors, helping fellow church members with their computers, and 
> participating in Internet surveys for as little as $5 apiece.
> 
> “You don’t necessarily have to go through the door,” Ms. Reid said. “You can 
> go around it and go under it. I can be very creative. I think that I will 
> eventually manage to pull this together.”
> 
>  
> 
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