Thanks Mike, 

So all generalizations are what is fraccing the world at present, correct?
Consider this little issue of reality.   Upstate New York and Pennsylvania
has had a serious problem of Radon Gas from uranium deposits in the shale.
Currently the Oil and Gas people are lobbying to fracc the shale and release
the natural gas.   They insist it's safe except for the following (see
below) 

Further note below:  the liberal progressive Democratic governor of
Pennysylvania has stopped the exploration in Pennsylvian.   My point is that
the wall street and energy people are completely without morality.   The
Radon has caused cancer for years in anyone using the shale as building
material and yet the article below shows the problem denied by the folks
from Texas or wherever.   They say the problem is environmental regulation.
Is the only solution here a good world war or at least a civil one?   

Been here before, 

So what we are speaking of here is what I have been saying for some time.
You can only develop a serious society if you are willing to demand reality
based solutions and severely test all human theories before being put into
practice by politicians and wall street types.   Reality will always win.
But will you have children or grandchildren and will they be living the life
of the poor in London at the height of the Empire.   Ten inches shorter than
the children of the local oil and gas man.   We should never forget that the
countries that have a decent split between upper classes and lower are all
called "stagnant" by economists and wall street. . Japan, South Korea, the
Scandinavian Countries, etc.   Of course what they say is that they have
culture while the rest of the world has none.   Could that be the next issue
to discuss?   People who are identity less except as the pirates of
wherever.    What was the lingua franca of the Pirates?    English of
course.   Perhaps we will see that the government here does to everyone's
land what the Canadian government only does to Indians.   Equality of a
sort.  

REH 


ScienceDaily (Oct. 27, 2010)
But University at Buffalo researchers have now found that that process --
called hydraulic fracturing or "fracking"-- also causes uranium that is
naturally trapped inside Marcellus shale to be released, raising additional
environmental concerns.

The research will be presented at the annual meeting of the Geological
Society of America in Denver on Nov. 2.
Marcellus shale is a massive rock formation that stretches from New York
through Pennsylvania, Ohio and West Virginia, and which is often described
as the nation's largest source of natural gas.

"Marcellus shale naturally traps metals such as uranium and at levels higher
than usually found naturally, but lower than manmade contamination levels,"
says Tracy Bank, PhD, assistant professor of geology in UB's College of Arts
and Sciences and lead researcher. "My question was, if they start drilling
and pumping millions of gallons of water into these underground rocks, will
that force the uranium into the soluble phase and mobilize it? Will uranium
then show up in groundwater?"

To find out, Bank and her colleagues at UB scanned the surfaces of Marcellus
shale samples from Western New York and Pennsylvania. Using sensitive
chemical instruments, they created a chemical map of the surfaces to
determine the precise location in the shale of the hydrocarbons, the organic
compounds containing natural gas.

"We found that the uranium and the hydrocarbons are in the same physical
space," says Bank. "We found that they are not just physically -- but also
chemically -- bound.

"That led me to believe that uranium in solution could be more of an issue
because the process of drilling to extract the hydrocarbons could start
mobilizing the metals as well, forcing them into the soluble phase and
causing them to move around."

When Bank and her colleagues reacted samples in the lab with surrogate
drilling fluids, they found that the uranium was indeed, being solubilized.

In addition, she says, when the millions of gallons of water used in
hydraulic fracturing come back to the surface, it could contain uranium
contaminants, potentially polluting streams and other ecosystems and
generating hazardous waste.

The research required the use of very sophisticated methods of analysis,
including one called Time-of-Flight Secondary Ion Mass Spectrometry, or
ToF-SIMS, in the laboratory of Joseph A. Gardella Jr., Larkin Professor of
Chemistry at UB.

The UB research is the first to map samples using this technique, which
identified the precise location of the uranium.

"Even though at these levels, uranium is not a radioactive risk, it is still
a toxic, deadly metal," Bank concludes. "We need a fundamental understanding
of how uranium exists in shale. The more we understand about how it exists,
the more we can better predict how it will react to 'fracking.'"


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Rendell halts further leasing in Pennsylvania state forests

Oct 27, 2010
Nick Snow 
OGJ Washington Editor 

WASHINGTON, DC, Oct. 27 -- Pennsylvania Gov. Edward G. Rendell signed an
executive order halting further oil and gas development in state forests on
Oct. 26. Rendell said he acted after the commonwealth’s Department of
Conservation and Natural Resources (DCNR) determined that more leasing could
endanger the forests’ environment. Critics responded that he was simply
holding state land hostage after the state’s general assembly was unable to
pass a natural gas severance tax. 

Rendell said a DCNR study over 7 months found that additional oil and gas
leases could jeopardize the forests’ environmental quality and character,
and jeopardize Pennsylvania’s certification that it manages the its forests
in a sustainable manner, which he said is important for the state’s nearly
$6 billion forest products industry. 

The governor, who is a Democrat leaving office in January, said the
executive order was necessary after the state’s Senate, which Republicans
control, refused to take up House Bill 2355, which would have instituted a
moratorium and which the state’s Democrat-led House passed, with some
Republican votes, in early May. 

“Drilling companies’ rush to grab private lands across the state has left
few areas untouched by this widespread industrial activity,” Rendell said.
“We need to protect our unleased public lands from this rush because they
are the most significant tracts of undisturbed forest remaining in this
state. The House led the way to protect these lands, but the Senate failed
to do so. That’s why it’s clear we need this executive order.” 

But his action came 5 days after Rendell declared a gas severance tax dead
for 2010 and blamed the Senate’s GOP leaders for refusing to hold a lame
duck session after the Nov. 2 elections and work to reach a compromise with
a 39¢/Mcf levy which the House approved on Sept. 29. Rendell proposed a
severance tax in February of 5% of the gas’s value at the wellhead, plus
4.7¢/Mcf. On Oct. 11, he offered a compromise which would have called for a
phased-in tax of 3% the first year, 4% in the second, and 5% in the third. 

‘Somewhat of a puzzle’ 
Pennsylvania oil and gas organizations immediately questioned Rendell’s
move. “The governor’s moratorium is somewhat of a puzzle to PIOGA,” said
Louis D. D’Amico, president and executive director of the Pennsylvania
Independent Oil & Gas Association. “The industry had been told several
months ago that [DCNR] had no intention of having further leasing in the
foreseeable future. It would seem that the moratorium announcement is more
of an opportunity for the governor to campaign once again for a severance
tax than an announcement of something new. This will have no long-term
impact on the industry.” 

In a May 12 announcement that Anadarko Petroleum Corp. would pay the state
$120 million to lease 32,896 acres of state forest around which producers
already had leases, Rendell and DCNR said the agreement would help the state
meet its budget, but that no additional state forest land would be made
available for leasing during the 2010-11 fiscal year. 

“Holding hostage important natural gas development and the creation of new
jobs and revenues over a political impasse is not sound energy policy,”
observed Rolf Hanson, executive director of the Associated Petroleum
Industries of Pennsylvania, on Oct. 26. “The Keystone State continues to
struggle with high unemployment and budget deficits, and natural gas is part
of the solution to the state’s economic problems.” 

“The natural gas industry has safely and responsibly been operating on
taxpayer-owned lands for years,” noted Kathryn Z. Klaber, president and
executive director of the Marcellus Shale Coalition. “And this responsible
production of clean-burning, homegrown natural gas is creating tens of
thousands of local jobs and hundreds of millions in tax revenues for the
commonwealth.”

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

-----Original Message-----
From: [email protected]
[mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Mike Spencer
Sent: Thursday, October 28, 2010 2:13 PM
To: [email protected]
Subject: [Futurework] Re: Back cover blurb


Harry wrote:

> Ray,
>
> Perhaps you can explain to me why my "land theories" have little
> connection to reality.

As far as I can see, all economic theories have at best a tenuous
connection to reality.  Some may be tautological, some share the
bizarre qualities of Ptolemaic epicycles, some have more exceptions
and patches than a creationism that tries to accomodate fossils,
speciation and the rest of scientific observables. But they all seem
to happily sacrifice connection to reality in the pursuit of
theoretical elegance.  Economic theorists suffer from Physics Envy.

Land?  Everybody needs a place to stand.  But we can (or could, when
Brunner's novel was written) all "stand on Zanzibar".  For the
present, there's an insuperable requirement for soil to support basic
food requirements. But you're not thinking of elementary physics or
biological energy budgets.

In general, any economic theory is about human behavior, collective
human behavior in particular.  But Bernays notwithstanding, people act
individually.  As soon as there is an approximately true
generalization about collective human behavior, there will be people
who try to profit from making themselves exceptions to the
generalization.  The only way that such economic theories, including
"land theories", can be made true is through coercion or manipulation.


Of course, "all generalizations are false, including this one".  Ho
hum.

- Mike

-- 
Michael Spencer                  Nova Scotia, Canada       .~. 
                                                           /V\ 
[email protected]                                     /( )\
http://home.tallships.ca/mspencer/                        ^^-^^
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