Hi Ed,

Once again, I'll crop fairly heavily to keep this exhange manageable:

At 10:21 10/10/01 -0400, you wrote:

>> (EW)
>> >If you go to http://members.eisa.com/~ec086636/coping.htm  on my website,
>> >you'll see that I do recognize the tremendous impact which indigenous
>> >invention and industrialization had on Europe.  Nevertheless, I would
>> >maintain that the contribution of the colonies to European wealth was
>also
>> >huge, and the reverse impact, that of Europe on colonized people, was
>often
>> >devastating.
>>
>>(KH)
>> as far as I could see you haven't answered my point that the vast
>> proportion of trade (at the time of maximum European colonisation in
>Africa
>> and Asia) was not with undeveloped 'exploited' countries but was
>> intra-European and between Europe and America. 'Non-exploitative' trade
>> between 'equals', if you like.
>>
>> I've been trying to find figures to back this up, but the best I could
>find
>> was Claus Moser's "Vital World Statistics" of 1987-88. On the reasonable
>> assumption that the pattern of trade quoted in the book is very similar to
>> that of 100-150 years ago then, of its export volume, the UK exported 13%
>> to America and 50% to the EEC. That comes to 63%. Those are the only
>> figures I have but it would be reasonable to add a further 15-20% of
>> exports to countries of equivalent standard of living in non-EEC Europe
>and
>> other non-European countries such as Japan. This means that only about 20%
>> -- at the very most -- of UK exports go to poor 'exploited' countries
>> (with, of course, roughly the same value of imports coming from them --
>> stuff such as cocoa, coffee, and some food).
>
>Keith, I can't accept that it is reasonable to assume that figures quoted
>for 1987-88 are "very similar" to those of 100 to 150 years ago.  There has
>been far too much change in the global economy over that period.  Colonial
>empires and the gold standard have disappeared, technology has changed
>enormously, new tastes and preferences have emerged, political revolutions
>have occurred, the bloodiest wars in history have been fought, and new
>alliances have been formed.  All such things would have affected patterns of
>trade.  Yet I would grant that patterns of trade, as officially recorded,
>may not have changed that greatly.  Most trade, as registered on the books a
>hundred years ago, would likely have occurred between equals.
>
>I suggest, however, that much would depend on how trade was recorded.  For
>example, would something  traded that originates in a colony, say the
>Belgian Congo, be recorded on Belgium's books or those of the Congo?
>Perhaps on both within the internal Belgian record keeping system, but
>perhaps only on those of Belgium in international statistics.  But on the
>whole you are probably right, most trade would probably have taken place
>between countries that had the capacity to produce the trade goods in demand
>at the time.
>
>I would suggest, however, that we are talking about two different things.
>In international affairs, trade is only a very small part of the overall
>impact that countries have on each other.  It is one of the final outcomes
>of a number of preceding events.  The relations between European powers and
>their colonies were defined earlier than 150 years ago, back in the
>16th,17th and 18th centuries.  As I argued in my previous posting, both the
>impacts on Europe and on the colonies were enormous at the time, and were
>major factors in bringing about the transformations that continue to define
>the modern world.  Try to picture where the modern world would be if the
>vast resources of the colonies (gold, metals of various kinds, forests,
>fish, spices, "corn", slaves, and of course "empty" lands for the settlement
>of surplus European populations) had not been available.  Try to picture
>where Asia, Africa and the Americas would be if they had not been colonized.
>It's nonsensical, of course, to try to do that, but I hope you can see what
>I'm getting at.

Yes, I'm persuaded. I've been tending to conflate different sorts of
'operations' and periods -- i.e. out-and-out colonisation episodes and
trade. I haven't, by the way, at any time tried to ignore the historic (and
shameful) significance of the former, but I've probably been
under-estimating their economic consequences. My focus has been on the
rapid phase of the industrial revolution.

---->cut

>> (KH) Having both agreed on this, the question to ask is: What is the best
>way to
>> help? I don't think there's anything that can be done in the short term,
>no
>> matter how much debt-forgiveness is granted, or how much government aid is
>> given. It's a matter of building up the sort of social capital and
>> innovative culture which we, in the West, were fortunate in having enough
>> of at around the turn of the 18th century -- itself a sort of byproduct of
>> a very special era before it, the Enlightenment. This intangible type of
>> thing can't be built up quickly. Two modern authors, David Landes (in "The
>> Wealth and Poverty of Nations") and Francis Fukuyama (in "The Great
>> Disruption" and "Trust") are closest to putting their fingers on it. In
>> many of the poorest countries it is the men who are the reactionaries and,
>> in practical terms, I think the approach of those charities which are
>> concentrating on women's education is the best one. Even so, it's a long
>> difficult job.
>
>Good points.  I've just been thumbing through Landes, trying to find support
>for my rather strange views.  The only thing I've read by Fukuyama is "The
>End of History".  I didn't think much of it, so I gave it away.  Perhaps I
>should give him another try.  But I think Sept 11th demonstrated that
>history has not ended, and that we are into another round of it.

I'm a little surprised that you didn't think much of Fukuyama's "The End of
History". I thought that it was a pretty thorough piece of work, building
up his case very carefully brick by brick. I think "The Great Disruption"
is crisper and takes his case a little further.

Mind you, there's a possible weakness in Fukuyama's case, and I'm minded to
discuss this in a separate posting.

Best wishes,

Keith

___________________________________________________________________

Keith Hudson, General Editor, Calus <http://www.calus.org>
6 Upper Camden Place, Bath BA1 5HX, England
Tel: +44 1225 312622;  Fax: +44 1225 447727; 
mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
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