On Oct 24, 2008, at 5:19 AM, Kris Tilford wrote:

> On the health side, studies have shown that for children, the risk of
> childhood cancers is as high as 2 for users of CRT monitor. This means
> your child may double their chances of cancer from prolonged use of
> CRT monitors. (2)

I'm sorry but the article you cite makes no such claim.

It says, specifically:

  "Epidemiologists have suggested that the risk factors for some  
childhood cancers (particularly leukemia) are as high as two for some  
populations exposed to low frequency EMI. "

Note "some populations" and "exposed to low-frequency EMI" not CRT's.

THEN ONE LINE LATER it says:

"In general, a risk factor of less than six is not considered  
significant (cigarette smoking has a risk factor of 10-20)."

Sadly, like may other fields (law, engineering,etc) to paraphrase  
Inigo Montoya:

  "those words, I do not think they mean what YOU think they mean"

Having worked in the carcinogenesis field, I can state that a risk  
factor of two derived from some study is not significantly greater  
than chance, unless it's a really really REALLY big study, controlled  
for a huge number of variables, and absent a police state keeping  
accurate and detailed health and lifestyle records of everyone, there  
just isn't the data available for that kind of study.

This means that you can draw NO CONCLUSIONS from the study, because it  
is equally probable that pure coincidence would give you the same  
results.

Sadly, these terms get tossed into articles directed at laypeople  
without a clear understanding or explanation of what the words mean  
within the field they're being used in.

Also the numbers on childhood cancer are very very low, so presuming  
the observed risk is real, even doubling the risk still means they  
have a very very low risk of the actual adverse outcome.

Seriously, the risks of letting your children near a street are far  
higher than the elevated risk from looking at CRTs.

Finally, while there have been widely touted studies linking living  
under power lines and cancer in young children, there is a glaring  
flaw in most of these studies: almost invariably this housing is  
relatively new, and almost invariably, significantly lower  
socioeconomic class, a whole host of other risk factors involved.

When these studies are properly controlled against this, the EMI  
effect vanishes. This isn't 'massaging the numbers' or 'lying with  
statistics' it's plain old ordinary science.

Anecdotes != Data.

This is akin to the 'brain cancer epidemic' we've been saddled with  
since we got the MRI which could find brain tumors too small to be  
found in the past.

If there IS an EMI effect, it is below the background noise of all  
other carcinogens in the environment.

And no I'm not a paid shill of the power industry, but if EMI caused  
cancer, we'd see a massive epidemic among factory workers, janitors  
and barbers...power tools, vacuum cleaners and barber's shears have  
vastly stronger EM fields than CRT's...that's why your TV goes crazy  
when the vacuum cleaner comes near.

-- 
Bruce Johnson
University of Arizona
College of Pharmacy
Information Technology Group

Institutions do not have opinions, merely customs



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